New England Patriots vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 16 for 12/21/2025

Home » New England Patriots vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 16 for 12/21/2025

  • Game: New England Patriots vs. Baltimore Ravens
  • Date: Sunday, December 21, 2025
  • Location: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
  • TV: CBS
  • Odds-Point Spread: Ravens (-3)
  • Total-Over-Under: 48

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This Sunday, the Baltimore Ravens (7-7) will host the New England Patriots (11-3) at M&T Bank Stadium, where Baltimore is favored by 3 points according to Vegas odds. The total is set at 48 points.

The New England Patriots enter this matchup with a solid record of 11-3. In their most recent game, they faced off against the Buffalo Bills, suffering a narrow defeat with a final score of 35-31. Quarterback Drake Maye completed 14 of 23 passes for 155 yards, earning a quarterback rating of 62.8 and throwing 1 interception. Mack Hollins had a notable performance with 4 catches for 41 yards, averaging 10.3 yards per reception. Leading the rushing attack, TreVeyon Henderson carried the ball 14 times for 148 yards, averaging an impressive 10.6 yards per carry. The Patriots executed 48 plays for a total of 385 yards. They recorded 25 rushing attempts for 246 yards, achieving an average of 9.8 yards per carry. On defense, they allowed 168 yards on 37 attempts, averaging 4.5 yards per carry, while conceding 19 completions on 28 attempts for 181 passing yards at a completion rate of 67.9%.

NFL Picks TreVeyon Henderson New England Patriots Predictions Best Bet Odds

This season, the Patriots have accumulated a total of 5,099 yards. They have recorded 165 first downs and have been hindered by 88 penalties totaling 732 yards. In terms of touchdowns, New England has scored 23 through the air and 16 on the ground. They have turned the ball over 14 times (7 interceptions and 7 lost fumbles). Averaging 122.4 rushing yards per game, they rank 13th in the league, with an offensive scoring average of 27.3 points per game.

When it comes to pass defense, the Patriots have surrendered 2,871 yards, placing them 15th in the NFL. They average giving up 205.1 passing yards per game with a 66.5% completion rate. Overall, they have allowed 1,331 rushing yards over 14 games this season, conceding 24 passing touchdowns and 7 rushing touchdowns. They rank 7th defensively, allowing an average of 300.1 yards per game and 19.7 points scored against them.

The Ravens come into this contest with a record of 7-7. Their last outing resulted in a decisive 24-0 victory over the Cincinnati Bengals. Derrick Henry starred for the Ravens, rushing 11 times for 100 yards, averaging 9.1 yards per carry. Zay Flowers was a key receiver, catching 3 passes for 68 yards, averaging 22.7 yards per reception. Lamar Jackson threw for 150 yards with 2 touchdowns on 8-12 passing, though he did have 1 interception, averaging 12.5 yards per attempt. The Ravens’ defense allowed 29 rushing attempts for 100 yards (3.4 yards per carry) and gave up 198 passing yards on 25 completions out of 39 attempts, with a completion rate of 64.1%. Baltimore had a total offensive performance of 317 yards on 36 plays, averaging 8.8 yards per play, and rushed for 189 yards on 24 attempts, averaging 7.9 yards per carry.

In terms of scoring, the Ravens rank 14th in the league, averaging 23.9 points per game. This season, they have recorded 2,497 passing yards, averaging 178.4 passing yards per game, placing them 27th overall. The team averages 146.2 rushing yards per game and has rushed for a total of 2,047 yards. Baltimore’s total offensive output is 324.6 yards per game, ranking 20th in the NFL. Penalties have hurt the Ravens, as they have incurred 595 total yards on 77 penalties, ranking 28th in the league. They have thrown 10 interceptions and lost 10 fumbles, while earning 121 first downs.

On the defensive side, the Ravens allow an average of 22.9 points per game, ranking 15th in the league. They have given up 19 passing touchdowns, allowing 233.3 passing yards per game, which ranks 26th. Baltimore’s defense has conceded 1,555 rushing yards this season, averaging 111.1 yards per game, along with 13 rushing touchdowns. They have been on the field for 901 offensive plays, ranking 29th, and have a total of 16 takeaways this year (7 forced fumbles and 9 interceptions); they have given up 320 points in total.

Who will prevail in tonight’s Patriots-Ravens matchup against the spread?

Pick: Bet on the Ravens -3

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Pick: Baltimore Ravens -3
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