Matchup: New England Revolution vs Inter Miami CF
Event Date: Wednesday, July 9, 2025
Venue: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Broadcast: MLS Season Pass
Inter Miami CF (9-5-3) is set to travel to Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA, on Wednesday to challenge the Revolution (6-6-7). The odds for New England are +125, while Inter Miami has a line of -145. The over/under for the match is 3 goals. The goalkeepers featured will be Aljaz Ivacic for New England and Oscar Ustari for Miami.
The Revolution are currently ranked 27th in expected goals with a total of 23.7, while their expected goals against (xGA) stands at 27.5. New England has conceded 23 goals this season, averaging 1.21 goals allowed per 90 minutes, with opponents taking 76 shots on target against them. Their goal differential is +2, having scored 25 goals versus those conceded. They have recorded 7 clean sheets, translating to a clean sheet rate of 36.8% this year. Collectively, the New England Revolution boasts 53 saves and a save percentage of 69.7%. They have also accumulated 33 yellow cards, averaging 1.26 points per match (totaling 24 points) and ranking 22nd in MLS with 15 assists.
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Inter Miami CF has netted 40 goals, while their expected goals total for the season is 30.5. The team’s goals against per 90 minutes are currently 1.65, with 55 saves and 3 clean sheets registered. This season, Miami holds a save percentage of 65.9% (with 82 shots on target against) and ranks 10th in MLS with 32 points. They are positioned 17th in goals against, having conceded 28 goals, and their goal differential is +12. Miami’s clean sheet rate is 17.6%, with 40 yellow cards accumulated. The Herons average 1.9 points per match, contributing to 32 assists and receiving 3 red cards.
In goal for New England will be Aljaz Ivacic. Over his career, Ivacic has played 8,781 minutes, recording 346 saves. His goals against average stands at 1.77 (173 goals allowed), and he has a save percentage of 67.1%. The Slovenian goalkeeper has faced 516 shots during 97 starts. With a career record of 30-26-41, Ivacic has achieved 19 clean sheets, marking a clean sheet percentage of 19.5%.
Oscar Ustari will guard the net for Miami. Throughout his career, Ustari has conceded 21 goals and recorded 50 saves over 15 starts. His save percentage is 71.4%, and he holds a clean sheet rate of 21.4%. With 1.50 goals allowed per 90 minutes, he has compiled a record of 9-4-2. Ustari has notched 3 shutouts while facing 70 shots in 1,247 minutes of play.
Carles Gil is a key player for New England, providing crucial goal-scoring opportunities. The Spanish midfielder has achieved 46 goals in 15,226 minutes of play, starting in 168 matches during his career with a rate of 0.27 goals per 90 minutes. He has also provided 50 assists, totaling 142 points throughout his professional journey.
On the Miami side, Lionel Messi remains a formidable threat to opposing defenses. The Argentine forward has played 3,068 minutes professionally, recording 33 goals at a rate of 0.98 goals per 90. In 32 career starts, Messi has accumulated 85 points and has assisted teammates 19 times.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s match against the spread?
Tony Sink’s Prediction: Bet on New England Revolution (-145)
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