- Matchup: New Mexico Lobos vs Boise State Broncos
- Date: Saturday, October 11, 2025
- Venue: Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID
- Broadcast: FS1
- Betting Odds: Broncos favored by 17.0 points
- Total Points (Over/Under): 60.5
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This Saturday, October 11, 2025, the New Mexico Lobos (3-2) will travel to Albertsons Stadium to face off against the Boise State Broncos (3-2). The Broncos are entering the game as 17.0-point favorites according to oddsmakers, with the game total set at 60.5 points.
The New Mexico Lobos currently hold a 3-2 record this season. In their latest outing, they faced the San Jose State Spartans, resulting in a 35-28 defeat. The Lobos executed 67 plays totaling 420 yards, averaging 2.8 yards per rushing attempt with 76 yards from 27 carries. Defensively, New Mexico permitted 153 rushing yards on 36 attempts, averaging 4.3 yards per run, and allowed 26 completions out of 30 attempts for a staggering 334 yards, giving them an 86.7% completion rate against.

On offense, the New Mexico Lobos average 30.0 points per game and rank 71st in Division I with approximately 154.4 rushing yards per game. This season, they have accrued a total of 1,984 yards. Touchdown distribution reveals they have achieved 9 passing and 10 rushing touchdowns. The Lobos have also registered 116 first downs while incurring 22 penalties for 155 yards, and they have turned the ball over 11 times this season.
Defensively, New Mexico ranks 74th in allowing 24.2 points per game. They give up an average of 4.0 yards per rush, totaling 119.8 rushing yards allowed per game this year, with a cumulative of 599 yards on the ground over five games. In terms of passing statistics, the Lobos have surrendered 1,356 yards, ranking 117th nationally, which translates to 271.2 passing yards per game and a completion percentage allowed of 68.6%. Overall, they have conceded a total of 391.0 yards per game, putting them at 96th in the country, with 7 passing touchdowns and 6 rushing touchdowns allowed.
The Boise State Broncos also enter this matchup with a 3-2 record. Their most recent game ended in a 28-7 loss against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish. The Broncos managed 315 total yards in that game, running 71 plays for an average of 4.4 yards per play. In the rushing department, Boise State averaged just 2.9 yards per attempt, achieving 100 yards from 34 carries. Their defense allowed 31 rush attempts for 200 yards, averaging 6.5 yards per carry, while their pass defense gave up 189 yards on a 65.2% completion rate (15 of 23).
In terms of scoring, the Broncos rank 52nd nationally with an average of 32.2 points per game. They are amassing 479.0 yards per game, making them 14th in college football. However, they have incurred 386 penalty yards from 44 infractions, ranking 6th in Division I for penalties affecting their performance. Boise State has tossed 5 interceptions and allowed opponents to recover 3 fumbles, while securing 118 first downs. This season, they have amassed 1,411 passing yards, averaging 282.2 yards per game through the air, placing them at 27th nationally; in rushing, they average 196.8 yards per game with a total of 984 rushing yards this season.
Defensively, the Broncos allow 25.4 points per game, placing them 79th in college football. They have conceded a total of 811 rushing yards (162.2 yards per game) and 11 rushing touchdowns this season. In the passing game, they have allowed 6 touchdowns and approximately 186.2 yards per game, sitting at 39th nationally. The Boise State defense has been active on 307 plays, ranking them 24th in college football, with 2 fumble recoveries and 5 interceptions throughout the season, having allowed a total of 127 points.
Who will emerge victorious in today’s Lobos vs. Broncos college football matchup?
Prediction: Back the Broncos -17.0
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