Matchup: New Mexico Lobos vs Michigan Wolverines
Game Date: Saturday, August 30, 2025
Venue: Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI
Broadcast: NBC Peacock
Betting Odds: Wolverines favored by 34.5 points
Over/Under Total: 49.5 points
The New Mexico Lobos, who concluded last season with a 5-7 record, are set to face the Michigan Wolverines, who finished at 8-5, at Michigan Stadium on Saturday, August 30, 2025. Michigan starts this contest as 4.5-point favorites according to the oddsmakers, with an over/under of 49.5 points established.
Last season, the Lobos finished 5-7, ending their campaign with a defeat against the Hawaii Warriors, losing 38-30. Defensively, they allowed 102 rushing yards on 26 carries, averaging 3.9 yards per attempt. In terms of passing defense, New Mexico permitted 39 completions on 59 throws, yielding 484 passing yards with a completion rate of 66.1%. The Lobos ran 80 plays, amassing a total of 481 yards, and achieved 305 rushing yards on 49 attempts, averaging 6.2 yards per rush.
In scoring terms, the New Mexico Lobos averaged 33.5 points per game, while rushing for an impressive 253.6 yards per game, ranking second nationally. Throughout last season, they accumulated 5,812 total yards, with 12 passing touchdowns and 37 rushing touchdowns. The offense secured 298 first downs but committed 112 penalties resulting in 978 yards. They also turned the ball over 19 times.
However, defensively, the Lobos struggled, allowing 3,350 passing yards, placing them at 121st nationally. They conceded an average of 279.2 passing yards per game while achieving a completion percentage against of 64.5%. Their overall yardage allowed was 492.1 yards per game, ranking them 131st in Division 1, with a total of 30 passing and 28 rushing touchdowns permitted. Opponents rushed for an average of 5.4 yards per carry and 212.9 rushing yards per game. Over the course of the season, the Lobos allowed 2,555 rushing yards and were ranked 130th in defensive scoring, giving up an average of 38.0 points per game.
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The Wolverine squad closed their season with an 8-5 record, securing a victory against the Alabama Crimson Tide at 19-13 in their final game. Michigan averaged just 2.3 yards per rushing attempt, recording 115 yards on 51 carries in that match. The team managed to compile 190 yards on 66 offensive plays for an average of 2.9 yards per play. Defensively, their passing coverage was strong, yielding just a 48.5% completion rate for 192 yards on 16 of 33 attempts. The run defense held opponents to 68 yards on 29 carries at an average of 2.3 yards per rush.
On offense, the Wolverines averaged 286.2 yards per game, placing them at 129th in Division 1. They had accrued 514 penalty yards due to 52 infractions, ranking 131st in terms of yardage lost. The rushing game generated 2,044 yards over the season, averaging 157.2 yards per game. The team struggled with turnovers, throwing 13 interceptions and losing 7 fumbles while making 211 first downs. In points scored, Michigan averaged 22.0, ranking them 113th nationally. Last year, they passed for a total of 1,678 yards with an average of 129.1 passing yards per game, ranking 131st overall.
Defensively, they allowed a total of 1,179 rushing yards, averaging 90.7 yards per game, along with 10 rushing touchdowns. Their passing defense conceded 20 touchdowns and 216.3 yards per game, ranking 63rd in D-1. The Wolverines’ defense forced 7 fumbles and intercepted 12 passes throughout the past season. They participated in 822 defensive plays, ranking 49th in D-1, and allowed 19.9 points per game, placing them 19th nationally, with a total of 259 points allowed over the season.
Who will come out on top in this contest between the Lobos and the Wolverines against the spread?
Josh’s Prediction: Bet on the Wolverines -34.5
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