- Matchup: New Mexico State Aggies vs Liberty Flames
- Date: Tuesday, October 14, 2025
- Venue: Williams Stadium, Lynchburg, VA
- Broadcast: CBSSN
- Point Spread: Flames favored by 10.5 points
- Over/Under Total: 46
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The Liberty Flames, currently standing at 2-4, are set to host the New Mexico State Aggies, who hold a record of 3-2, at Williams Stadium on October 14, 2025. According to Vegas odds, Liberty opens the matchup as 10.5-point favorites, with the total set at 46.
New Mexico State heads into the game with a 3-2 season record. In their previous encounter, the Aggies dominated the Sam Houston Bearkats, securing a victory with a score of 37-10. Defensively, they surrendered 69 rushing yards on 26 carries, averaging only 2.7 yards per attempt. In the passing game, New Mexico State allowed 27 completions on 39 attempts for a total of 244 yards, reflecting a completion rate of 69.2%. Offensively, they executed 57 plays for a total of 350 yards, with 31 rushing attempts yielding 95 yards, averaging 3.1 yards per rush.
For the season, the Aggies have amassed a total of 1,559 yards. In terms of touchdown distribution, they have scored 7 passing touchdowns and 3 rushing touchdowns, with 7 turnovers impacting their performance. As a squad, they have recorded 87 first downs, although they have encountered 34 penalties totaling 330 yards. Currently, New Mexico State averages 50.6 rushing yards per game, ranking 136th in Division 1. They are averaging 22.2 points per game when it comes down to finding the endzone.
The Aggies find themselves ranked 60th nationwide in terms of opponent scoring, allowing 22.8 points per game. When examining their rushing defense, they permit an average of 3.8 yards per attempt, allowing 152.6 rushing yards per game. Over this season, they’ve given up 763 rushing yards in five games. In terms of passing defense, New Mexico State has yielded 1,230 yards, placing them at 52nd nationally, allowing 246.0 yards per game with a completion rate of 66.9%. Overall, they are permitting 398.6 total yards per game, positioning them 107th in the nation, with 9 passing touchdowns and 4 rushing touchdowns allowed.
The Liberty Flames enter this matchup with a 2-4 record for the current season. In their last game, they secured a victory with a score of 19-8 against the UTEP Miners. Defensively, Liberty allowed 25 rushing attempts for just 56 yards, averaging 2.2 yards per carry. Their passing defense recorded a 48.1% completion rate, giving up 111 yards on 13 completions from 27 attempts. The Flames managed a total of 403 yards for the game, running 83 plays at an average of 4.9 yards per play. They averaged 3.2 yards per rush, totaling 160 yards on 50 attempts.
On average, the Liberty Flames have garnered 352.8 yards per game this season, placing them at 98th in Division 1. Their offense has committed 289 yards of penalties across 36 infractions, ranking 79th in the nation in terms of self-inflicted setbacks. They average 166.0 rushing yards per game, amounting to a total of 996 rushing yards for the season. The Flames have also recorded 4 interceptions and allowed opponents to recover 5 fumbles, contributing to their total of 108 first downs. Unfortunately for Liberty, they are ranked 125th in scoring, averaging just 17.3 points per game. On the passing side, they have totaled 1,121 yards through the air, averaging 186.8 passing yards per game, placing them at 105th in Division 1.
Defensively, the Flames allow an average of 20.7 points per game, ranking them 45th in college football. They have surrendered 1,181 rushing yards total (196.8 yards per game) along with 10 rushing touchdowns during the season. In terms of passing defense, Liberty has given up 5 touchdowns and allows 154.2 yards per game, ranking 12th in the nation. The Flames’ defense has been active on 383 plays, placing them at 45th in the country. So far this season, they have created 4 fumbles and recorded 5 interceptions, allowing a total of 124 points.
Who will emerge victorious in the Aggies vs. Flames college football clash against the spread?
Selection: Take the Aggies +10.5
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