- Matchup: New Orleans Saints vs Miami Dolphins
- Date: Sunday, November 30, 2025
- Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
- Broadcast: FOX
- Betting Odds: Dolphins favored by 6 points
- Total Points Over/Under: 41.5
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The New Orleans Saints (2-9) are set to clash with the Miami Dolphins (4-7) at Hard Rock Stadium this Sunday. The Saints enter as 6-point underdogs with an over-under set at 41.5.
The Saints are aiming to turn around a challenging season with a current record of 2-9. In their previous matchup, they faced the Atlanta Falcons, resulting in a 24-10 defeat. Quarterback Tyler Shough completed 30 of 43 passes for 243 yards, earning a QB rating of 74.1, but he also threw one interception. Shough was the top rusher for the Saints, carrying the ball 7 times for 22 yards (average of 3.1 yards per carry). Wide receiver Chris Olave caught 9 passes for 70 yards, averaging 7.8 yards per reception. As a team, the Saints rushed 28 times for a total of 79 yards, averaging 2.8 yards per carry. Overall, they executed 73 plays, garnering 293 yards. On defense, they allowed 16 completions on 23 attempts for 181 passing yards, with a completion percentage of 69.6%. The rushing defense was less effective, conceding 121 yards on 29 attempts (4.2 yards per rush).
This season, the Saints have amassed a total of 3,265 yards and achieved 110 first downs while accruing 78 penalties for 561 yards. In terms of scoring, New Orleans has recorded 11 passing touchdowns and 3 rushing touchdowns, but they have also turned the ball over 17 times (9 interceptions and 8 fumbles). The team averages 91.5 rushing yards per game, ranking them 29th overall in the league. Their scoring output is concerning, as they average just 15.0 points per game.
Defensively, the Saints are positioned 22nd in the league, yielding an average of 24.9 points per game. They allow 4.0 yards per rush and 123.5 rushing yards per game, while their passing defense has given up 2,118 yards total, ranking them 9th in the NFL. They allow 192.5 passing yards per game with a completion percentage of 68.4%. Collectively, their defense allows an average of 316.1 yards per game, ranking 12th overall. So far this season, they’ve surrendered 20 passing touchdowns and 9 rushing touchdowns, accumulating 1,359 rushing yards over 11 games.
The Miami Dolphins enter this game with a record of 4-7. In their last matchup, they claimed a narrow victory over the Washington Commanders, finishing 16-13. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa completed 14 of 20 passes for 171 yards with a passer rating of 96, and he didn’t throw any interceptions, averaging 8.6 yards per pass attempt. De’Von Achane was the standout receiver, making 5 receptions for 45 yards (9.0 yards per catch). On the ground, Achane rushed 21 times for 120 yards, averaging 5.7 yards per carry. The Dolphins racked up a total of 311 yards on 51 plays (6.1 yards per play) and averaged 5.5 yards per carry with 169 rushing yards on 31 attempts. Defensively, Miami allowed 33 runs for 172 yards (5.2 yards per rush) and gave up a completion rate of 66.7%, surrendering 207 yards on 20 of 30 passing attempts.
In terms of scoring efficiency, the Dolphins are 24th in the league, averaging 20.5 points per game. This season, they’ve thrown for a total of 2,063 yards, averaging 187.5 yards per game which ranks 26th. They average 112.8 rushing yards per game, totaling 1,241 rushing yards this season. Overall, Miami’s offensive performance averages 300.4 yards per game, placing them 25th in the league. The Dolphins have allowed a total of 562 yards due to penalties, ranking 25th in that category. Their offense has recorded 13 interceptions and 4 lost fumbles, generating 116 first downs.
Defensively, the Dolphins have allowed 18 passing touchdowns and surrender 207.2 passing yards per game, which ranks 12th in professional football. They have yielded 1,569 rushing yards (142.6 yards per game) along with 10 rushing touchdowns this season. The Dolphins’ defense has forced 12 turnovers (9 fumbles and 3 interceptions) and has allowed a total of 269 points. This season, Miami’s defense has been on the field for 655 plays, placing them 6th in the league, and they allow 24.5 points per game, ranking 21st overall.
Who will prevail in this NFL showdown between the Saints and Dolphins against the spread?
Prediction: Take the Dolphins -6
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