- Matchup: New York Islanders vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
- Date: Saturday, December 6, 2025
- Venue: Amalie Arena, Tampa, FL
- Broadcast: WXPX-TV
- Bets/Point Spread: Islanders (+132), Lightning (-160)
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On Saturday, the Tampa Bay Lightning (16-8-2) will host the New York Islanders (14-10-3) at the Amalie Arena. The betting line favors the Lightning at -160, while the Islanders are positioned at +132, with the total set at 6.5.
The New York Islanders are feeling confident after their recent 2-1 win over the Lightning. In that game, New York spent 6 minutes in the penalty box, demonstrating a less than stellar offensive display with only 2 goals from 23 shots. Despite having 3 power play opportunities, they couldn’t convert.
Even when at even strength, the Islanders have allowed 61 goals while managing 65 of their own. Their opponents have had 79 power play opportunities (17th in the league) and scored 14 goals. On the offensive front, the Islanders have netted 77 goals this season (ranked 22nd in the NHL) while conceding 75. They’ve attempted 790 shots, holding a shooting percentage of 9.8%. With a total of 31 points, their season points percentage is .574. Defensively, they’ve faced 732 shots with a save percentage of .898. The Islanders had 90 power play chances, making good on 12 of those attempts, translating to a 13.33% success rate.
In goal for the Islanders will be Ilya Sorokin. With 271 career games, Sorokin’s record stands at 133-97-38, having been the starter in 266 contests. Throughout his career, he’s faced 8,045 shots, making 7,365 saves, which results in a .915 save percentage over 13,454 minutes in net. He has achieved 173 quality starts with a quality start rate of .650.
In their most recent game against the Islanders, the Lightning suffered a 2-1 defeat, scoring just 1 goal from 30 shots, with no success on 3 power play attempts.
This season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have scored a total of 85 goals, accumulating 34 points and a points percentage of .654. They’ve conceded 67 goals: 58 at even strength and 9 while short-handed. They’ve scored 72 goals at even strength and 13 (22nd overall) on the power play from 80 chances, leading to a 16.25% success rate. Tampa has attempted 694 shots (23rd overall) with a shooting percentage of 12.25%, while their opponents have taken 712 shots. The Lightning maintain an impressive 89.16% penalty kill rate against 83 power play chances, coupled with a .906 save percentage.
Expected to take the crease for the Lightning is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who has allowed an average of 2.51 goals per game. Over his career, he’s conceded 1,378 goals and maintains a quality start rate of 58.3% alongside 320 quality starts. He’s competed in 549 games, totaling 28,667 minutes, and finished with a record of 342-169-37, making 15,238 saves out of 16,616 shots for a .917 save percentage.
Who’s your pick for the NHL matchup tonight regarding the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Tampa Bay (-160)
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