- Matchup: New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins
- Date: Monday, September 29, 2025
- Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
- Broadcast: ESPN
- Odds-Point Spread: Dolphins favored by 2.5 points
- Total Points Over-Under: 45
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The Miami Dolphins (0-3) are set to face off against the New York Jets (0-3) at Hard Rock Stadium this Monday. The oddsmakers currently favor New York by 2.5 points, with the total over/under set at 45.
The New York Jets, struggling with a 0-3 record this season, faced a setback in their last game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, narrowly losing 29-27. Quarterback Tyrod Taylor completed 26 of 36 passes for 197 yards and threw 2 touchdowns with a quarterback rating of 92, but he also had one interception. On the ground, Taylor led the Jets with 8 carries for 48 yards, averaging 6.0 yards per carry. Receiver Garrett Wilson recorded 84 yards on 10 receptions, averaging 8.4 yards each. The Jets managed 99 rushing yards on 23 attempts, yielding an average of 4.3 yards per carry. Overall, New York executed 59 plays leading to 267 total yards. Defensively, they allowed 19 completions on 29 attempts for 225 passing yards (65.5% completion rate), and they permitted 122 rushing yards on 34 carries, averaging 3.6 yards per run.
In terms of scoring, the Jets average 23.0 points per game and rank 10th in rushing with an average of 127.0 yards. They have accumulated a total of 815 yards this season and achieved 27 first downs, but they have also been penalized 19 times for 190 yards. So far, they have committed 4 turnovers (1 interception and 3 fumbles). In their quest to score, the Jets have recorded 4 passing touchdowns and 3 rushing touchdowns.
Defensively, New York ranks 28th in the league for allowing an average of 31.0 points per game. They are yielding 4.1 yards per rush and 133.0 rushing yards per game. Through the air, the Jets have allowed 622 passing yards, placing them 14th in the league. They permit an average of 207.3 passing yards per contest with a completion rate against of 65.1%. Overall, New York’s defense has allowed an average of 340.3 total yards per game, ranking 22nd in the NFL. They have given up 5 passing touchdowns and 3 rushing touchdowns, allowing a total of 399 rushing yards across 3 games this season.
The Miami Dolphins arrive at this matchup with the same 0-3 record. Their most recent game ended in a 31-21 defeat against the Buffalo Bills. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa threw for 146 yards, completing 22 of 34 passes with 2 touchdowns, but also tossed 1 interception, giving him a quarterback rating of 81.2. De’Von Achane contributed with 62 rushing yards on 12 carries, averaging 5.2 yards per carry. Star receiver Tyreek Hill recorded 5 receptions for 49 yards, averaging 9.8 yards per catch. The Dolphins’ ground game averaged 5.2 yards per carry, totaling 130 yards on 25 attempts. Overall, Miami recorded 276 yards on 59 plays, averaging 4.7 yards per play. Defensively, Miami’s pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 78.6%, yielding 203 passing yards on 22 of 28 attempts, along with 157 rushing yards on 27 carries (5.8 yards per carry).
The Dolphins average 281.7 total yards per game, placing them 23rd in the NFL. With an average of 89.7 rushing yards and a total of 269 rushing yards this season, they have recorded 4 interceptions and granted 1 fumble, while securing 35 first downs. Their offense has also conceded 137 yards through penalties, which ranks them 22nd in the league for damaging infractions. On the passing side, the Dolphins have accrued 576 passing yards, averaging 192.0 yards per game, which holds them at 21st in the league. In scoring, Miami ranks 25th, averaging just 18.7 points per game.
The Dolphins have allowed 6 passing touchdowns and 225.3 passing yards per game, placing them 21st in the NFL. They have also conceded 435 rushing yards (an average of 145.0 yards per game), and 4 rushing touchdowns so far this season. The Miami defense has yet to achieve any takeaways this year and has allowed a total of 97 points across their games. They have participated in 182 plays from scrimmage, ranking them 16th in the league, while allowing an average of 32.3 points per game, placing them at the bottom of the league.
Will the Jets or Dolphins come out on top in this crucial matchup?
Recommendation: Bet on the Jets +2.5
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