Matchup: New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs
Scheduled Date: Tuesday, September 23, 2025
Venue: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
Broadcast: Marquee
Betting Odds: New York Mets (+125) Chicago Cubs (-145)
The New York Mets (80-76) are making their way to Wrigley Field for a Tuesday showdown against the Chicago Cubs (88-68). The moneyline for this matchup sees the Mets at +125 and the Cubs at -145, with the over/under set at 9 runs. Starting on the mound will be David Peterson for the Mets and Cade Horton for the Cubs.
The New York Mets are currently averaging 4.8 runs per game, ranking them 10th in Major League Baseball. They have accumulated a total of 737 runs so far, boasting a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .328. The Mets have recorded 253 doubles and 214 home runs, alongside 718 runs batted in (RBIs) and 1,307 hits this season, with a batting average of .250. Their slugging percentage is .429, although they have struck out 1,267 times and been walked 540 times.
On the pitching side, the Mets have a team ERA of 3.99, placing them 16th in the league, with their pitchers striking out 1,327 batters. This season, Mets pitchers have given up 142 home runs and allowed 680 runs (18th in MLB), with 539 walks issued and a FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) of 3.90. New York has conceded 1,282 hits, averaging 8.4 hits per nine innings, and has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.46, with a WHIP (Walks and Hits per Inning Pitched) of 1.33.
The Mets have utilized 510 relief pitchers this season. Their bullpen has inherited 242 base runners, with 34.7% scoring. They have achieved 38 saves but have failed to convert 27 of their 65 save opportunities for a save percentage of 58.5%. The Mets’ bullpen has tallied 95 holds this season, ranking 8th in the league, and have faced 164 situations with runners on base and made 180 high-leverage appearances.
This season, the Mets have converted 68.8% of balls in play into outs across 12,348 innings, ranking them 24th in MLB. Overall, they have notched 4,116 putouts, 1,407 assists, and recorded 74 errors, holding a fielding percentage of .987 that ranks 12th in the league. They have turned 116 double plays this season.
David Peterson has pitched 621 innings, striking out 613 batters throughout his professional career. He holds a career record of 37 wins and 30 losses, with a FIP of 4.00, facing 2,660 batters in the majors. His ERA stands at 4.06, allowing 280 earned runs and posting a WHIP of 1.365. Peterson has given up 588 hits, averaging 8.5 hits per nine innings, while also issuing 260 walks.
The Chicago Cubs possess a team slugging percentage of .427 and average 4.84 runs per game, ranking 8th in the league. They have hit 257 doubles and accumulated 750 runs this season, along with 209 home runs and 731 RBIs. However, they have struck out 1,216 times, ranking 25th in MLB, and recorded 1,310 hits, holding an OBP of .320 and a batting average of .249.
The Cubs have a team WHIP of 1.187 and a FIP of 4.20, with a K/BB ratio of 7.90 (1,202 strikeouts against 394 walks). They rank 10th in total hits allowed with 1,236, giving up 193 home runs and averaging 4.09 runs per nine innings (6th in the league). With a team ERA of 3.83, they have allowed 624 runs this season, yielding 585 earned runs.
In 170 save situations, the Cubs have recorded 106 holds and experienced 19 blown saves. Their bullpen has entered the field 61 times in save opportunities, achieving 42 saves. They have pitched in 153 high-leverage situations and 96 times with runners on base, with an inherited score rate of 32.6% of 135 inherited base runners. Ranking 5th in MLB, they hold a save percentage of 68.9% and have fielded 502 relievers this season.
Across their 12,357 innings, the Cubs have a defensive efficiency of 71.8%, good for 3rd in professional baseball. They also have recorded 116 double plays, holding a fielding percentage of .989, which places them 5th in MLB. For the season, they have tallied 1,289 assists, made 59 errors, and achieved 4,119 putouts.
Cade Horton has surrendered 93 hits in 115 innings while striking out 95 batters. He has allowed 34 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.096 and a FIP of 2.6. His K/BB ratio is 2.88, and he has faced 465 hitters in his professional career. Horton has a record of 11 wins and 4 losses, with a 2.66 earned run average, allowing 7.3 hits per nine innings.
Who will triumph in tonight’s MLB clash against the spread or the moneyline?
Expert Pick : Back New York (+125)
