New York Mets and Kansas City Royals Prediction, 7/11/2025 MLB Picks, Top Bets & Odds

Matchup: New York Mets vs. Kansas City Royals

Scheduled Date: Friday, July 11, 2025

Venue: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, MO

Broadcasting: FanDuel Sports Network Kansas City

Betting Odds: New York (-275) Kansas City (+220)

The Kansas City Royals (44-48) are set to host the New York Mets (52-39) at Kauffman Stadium this Friday. The betting odds favor the Mets at -275, while the Royals are positioned at +220. The total for the game is set at 8.5 runs, featuring pitchers Kodai Senga and Michael Wacha on the mound.

The New York Mets are currently scoring an average of 4.4 runs per game, placing them 14th in the league. They have accumulated a total of 402 runs with an on-base percentage (OBP) of .324. The Mets have achieved 142 doubles and hit 118 home runs, alongside 392 runs batted in and 744 hits this season, resulting in a batting average of .245. Their slugging percentage stands at .418, with 710 strikeouts and 311 walks recorded.

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The Mets possess an earned run average (ERA) of 3.54 this season, ranking 6th in the league, with a total of 786 strikeouts. On defense, they have allowed 79 home runs and given up 358 runs (9th in the league). Their collective FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) stands at 3.77. The team has conceded 720 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and 318 earned runs, with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.35 and a WHIP (Walks and Hits per Inning Pitched) of 1.30.

This season, Mets relievers have appeared in 97 games with inherited runners and have taken the mound in 108 high-leverage situations. The bullpen has achieved 59 holds (8th in MLB) and has a save rate of 61.9%, with 101 save opportunities leading to 26 successful conversions and 16 failures. The relief pitchers inherited 148 runners throughout the season, with 34.5% scoring. In total, 291 relief pitchers have been used this year.

The Mets’ defensive efficiency stands at 69.7% out of 7,272 innings, placing them 17th in MLB. The Minnesota Twins have recorded 2,424 putouts this year, along with 820 assists and 43 errors. Their fielding percentage of .987 ranks them 12th in the league, and they have executed 73 double plays.

Senga has pitched 244 innings in his career, accumulating 281 strikeouts. With a career record of 20-10, he boasts a FIP of 2.50 while facing 1,007 batters. His ERA is at 2.54, allowing 69 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.178. He has surrendered 179 hits (6.6 hits per nine innings) and issued 109 walks.

The Royals have a team slugging percentage of .371 and average 3.40 runs per game, ranking 29th in MLB. They have achieved 157 doubles, drawn 218 walks, and scored 313 runs. Kansas City has hit 67 home runs leading to 309 RBIs while striking out 636 times (29th in baseball) and compiling 752 hits. The team holds an OBP of .299, alongside a batting average of .244 this season.

The Royals maintain a WHIP of 1.213, with a FIP of 3.82 for their pitching staff this season. They rank 12th in the league for total hits allowed, having given up 724. The Kansas City pitching staff has conceded 337 runs this season, resulting in a cumulative ERA of 3.47 (315 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 8.20, with 746 strikeouts against 267 walks. They have allowed 93 home runs and yield 3.71 runs per nine innings (3rd in the league).

Kansas City’s relief pitchers have entered 36 save situations, recording 27 successful saves. With a save percentage of 75.0%, they rank 2nd in the league. This season, 297 relief pitchers have taken the mound. The bullpen has faced 101 high-leverage situations and 91 scenarios with base runners. Their inherited runner scoring percentage is 30.8% out of 130 inherited runners. Currently, the Royals have 86 save opportunities, garnering 49 holds and 9 blown saves.