Matchup: New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants
Date: Saturday, July 26, 2025
Venue: Oracle Park, San Francisco, CA
Broadcast: NBC Bay Area
Betting Odds: New York Mets (-150) vs. San Francisco Giants (+125)
At Oracle Park, the San Francisco Giants (54-49) are set to face the New York Mets (59-44) this Saturday. The Mets are favored with a moneyline of -150, while the Giants open at +125. The total runs for the game are projected at 8.5, with David Peterson and Robbie Ray expected to take the mound as starting pitchers.
The Mets boast a slugging percentage of .411, having struck out 816 times and drawn 357 walks. They have recorded 439 RBIs and amassed 830 hits this season, with a team batting average of .242. Collectively, the Mets have hit 159 doubles and launched 130 home runs, scoring 451 runs with an on-base percentage of .322. Averaging 4.4 runs per game, they rank 16th in the league.
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This season, the Mets have recorded an impressive team earned run average of 3.57, ranking third in the league, and they’ve struck out 881 opposing batters. Their pitching staff has allowed 90 home runs and 406 total runs, ranking 6th in Major League Baseball. The Mets have issued 371 walks, maintaining a FIP of 3.81 this season. With 816 hits conceded (8.0 per nine innings), they have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.37 and a WHIP of 1.30.
Mets pitchers have entered games with runners on base 114 times and have made 125 appearances in high-stakes situations, collecting 67 holds this season (8th in the league). Their bullpen has a save percentage of 64.0%, having been called into action in 117 save situations and recording 32 saves while failing to convert 18 of 50 attempts. The relief pitchers have inherited 171 base runners, with 33.3% scoring. Thus far, the Mets have utilized 331 relievers in the 2025 season.
The Mets’ defense has logged 2,743 putouts, 936 assists, and 48 errors, achieving a fielding percentage of .987—ranked 11th in professional baseball. They convert 69.8% of balls in play into outs across 8,229 innings, placing them at 15th overall in the league.
David Peterson (34-28 career record) has a FIP of 3.79 and has faced 2,425 hitters in the majors. He has surrendered 529 hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and issued 235 walks. His career ERA stands at 3.84, allowing a total of 243 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.343 over 569 innings, amassing 561 strikeouts in his professional career.
The Giants possess a team slugging percentage of .376, generating an average of 4.18 runs per game (21st in MLB). They have hit 158 doubles, drawn 357 walks, and scored 431 runs this season, hitting 98 home runs and recording 411 RBIs. They have struck out 874 times (13th in baseball) and collected 789 hits, with a team batting average of .233 and an on-base percentage of .311 this season.
With a team WHIP of 1.270, the Giants have a FIP of 3.63, ranking them 15th in MLB for total hits allowed (827). The San Francisco pitching staff has yielded 412 runs this year with a 3.60 ERA (364 earned runs allowed). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.60 (873 strikeouts to 328 walks), and they have surrendered 88 home runs, allowing 4.08 runs per nine innings (8th in MLB).
The Giants have registered 66 holds and 14 blown saves in 106 save situations. They have called upon bullpen pitchers in 40 save opportunities, achieving 26 saves. Their bullpen has entered 114 times during crucial moments, including 72 times with runners on base. The inherited score rate for San Francisco relief pitchers stands at 34.2%, with a save rate of 65.0%, ranking them 11th in the league. They have used 323 bullpen pitchers in the 2025 campaign.
Throughout their 8,187 innings on the field, the Giants have achieved a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (20th in professional baseball). They have turned 76 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .984 (24th in professional baseball), also amassing 959 assists, 59 errors, and 2,729 putouts this season.
Robbie Ray has allowed 1,192 hits while amassing 1,679 strikeouts across 1,381 innings pitched. He has given up 597 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.286 and a FIP of 3.8, maintaining a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.88 and facing 5,842 batters in his professional baseball career. Ray, with a career record of 86-77, holds an ERA of 3.89, allowing 7.8 hits per 9 innings.
Who will clinch victory in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or the moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Favor New York (-150)
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