Matchup: New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds
Scheduled Date: Friday, September 5, 2025
Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Ohio
Betting Odds: New York (-152) vs Cincinnati (+126)
The New York Mets (75-65) are geared up to clash with the Cincinnati Reds (70-70) at Great American Ball Park this Friday. The betting line favors New York at -152, while Cincinnati is positioned at +126. The over/under for this matchup is set at 9 runs, and the anticipated starting pitchers are David Peterson and Andrew Abbott.
The Mets are currently posting a slugging percentage of .431 and have struck out 1,114 times while drawing 497 walks. They have recorded 658 RBIs and racked up a total of 1,185 hits this season, maintaining a batting average of .251. New York has achieved 231 doubles and 193 home runs, scoring 674 runs overall, featuring an on-base percentage of .330. As a collective, the Mets are averaging 4.8 runs per game, placing them 9th in the league.
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With a K/BB ratio of 2.44, the Mets’ pitching staff holds a combined WHIP of 1.32. Mets pitchers have relinquished 125 home runs and allowed a total of 605 runs (ranked 15th in the league). They have given up 1,149 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 539 earned runs this season, compiling a team ERA of 3.91 (13th in MLB) while striking out 1,203 batters. The team has issued 493 walks, with a FIP standing at 3.86 for the season.
This season, the Mets have utilized 458 relievers, inheriting 226 base runners with a 34.1% scoring rate for those runners. They have secured 37 saves, with a 60.7% success rate out of 61 save opportunities, and have made 147 appearances in save situations. The bullpen has achieved 86 holds, ranking 8th in the league. Mets relief pitchers have entered games with runners on base 151 times and participated in 166 high-leverage situations.
The Minnesota Twins lead in 3,720 putouts this year with 1,259 assists and 67 errors, maintaining a fielding rate of .987, which ranks 11th in baseball, and have executed 105 double plays. The Mets are converting 69.0% of balls in play into outs across 11,160 innings, ranking them 23rd in the professional leagues.
Peterson has pitched a total of 606 innings, striking out 600 batters throughout his baseball career. He possesses a career record of 36-29, with a FIP of 3.91 after facing 2,590 batters. His current ERA stands at 3.97 (having allowed 267 earned runs) and he holds a WHIP of 1.358, having conceded 568 hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) and issued 255 walks.
The Cincinnati Reds carry an on-base percentage of .318 and a batting average of .248 this season. They have struck out 1,216 times (ranked 8th in baseball) and recorded 1,173 hits. The Reds have achieved 138 home runs and collected 598 RBIs, along with a team slugging percentage of .393 and averaging 4.53 runs per game (13th in MLB). They have also totaled 229 doubles and 634 runs scored, buoyed by 456 walks.
The Reds’ pitching staff has allowed 607 runs this season with a team ERA standing at 3.95 (accounting for 544 earned runs). They have surrendered 166 home runs, allowing 4.41 runs per 9 innings (ranked 16th). Cincinnati currently has a WHIP of 1.250 and a pitching FIP of 4.16. This season, the Reds’ staff has a K/BB ratio of 8.60, with 1,186 strikeouts compared to 438 walks, ranking 8th in MLB for total hits allowed (1,111).
Cincinnati has brought in bullpen pitchers for 52 save opportunities, converting 32 saves, placing them 20th in MLB with a save percentage of 61.5%. They have dispatched 481 relievers this season, with 142 high-leverage appearances and 127 instances with base runners. The Reds’ inherited score rate is at 32.8%, having had 189 inherited runners. In 142 save situations, they have achieved 88 holds and 20 blown saves.
Across 11,157 innings, the Reds feature a defensive efficiency of 70.7%, ranking 8th in professional baseball. Their fielding percentage is .984 (26th in the league), having executed 90 double plays along with 1,059 assists, 80 errors, and achieving 3,719 putouts this season.
In his career, Abbott has yielded 343 hits while amassing 359 strikeouts in 386 innings pitched. He has given up 145 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.238 and a FIP of 3.3. His K/BB ratio stands at 2.66 against 1,611 opposing hitters. Abbott holds a career record of 26-21 and an earned run average of 3.38 while allowing 8.0 hits per nine innings.
Who will come out on top in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or the moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Choose New York (-152)
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