Matchup: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies
Scheduled Date: Monday, September 8, 2025
Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Broadcast: NBC Sports Philadelphia
Betting Odds: New York Mets (+102) Philadelphia Phillies (-122)
The Philadelphia Phillies (81-59) will host the New York Mets (75-65) at Citizens Bank Park this Monday. The moneyline for this matchup features New York at +102 and Philadelphia at -122, with a total set at 8.5 runs. The starting pitchers anticipated for this game are Sean Manaea and Aaron Nola.
This season, the Mets have amassed 231 doubles and 193 home runs, achieving a slugging percentage of .431. They have struck out 1,114 times while also drawing 497 walks. On average, the New York Mets score 4.8 runs per game, placing them 9th in the MLB. They have a total of 658 RBIs and 1,185 hits with a batting average of .251, having scored 674 runs and maintaining an on-base percentage (OBP) of .330.
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As a pitching unit, the Mets hold a team earned run average (ERA) of 3.91, ranking 13th in the league, with 1,203 strikeouts recorded. The Mets have conceded 125 home runs and a total of 605 runs, positioning them at 15th in the league. They have walked 493 hitters with a FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) of 3.86. The Mets have allowed 1,149 hits at a rate of 8.3 hits per 9 innings, permitting a total of 539 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk (K/BB) ratio is 2.44, and the team’s WHIP stands at 1.32.
Mets relievers have engaged with runners on base 151 times, featuring in 166 high-pressure situations. Their performance includes 86 holds (8th in the league) and a save percentage of 60.7%, having entered 147 save scenarios with 37 conversions and 24 blown saves. Of the 226 inherited runners, 34.1% have scored, indicating a solid performance from the bullpen this season.
The Mets convert 69.0% of balls in play into outs over their 11,160 innings, ranking 24th in the majors in defensive efficiency. The Minnesota Twins lead in putouts with 3,720 this season, complemented by 1,259 assists and 67 errors. Their fielding percentage is .987, ranking 12th in MLB, with 105 double plays executed.
Sean Manaea has pitched 1,229 innings throughout his career, accumulating 1,168 strikeouts. With a career record of 78-64, his FIP stands at 4.00, having faced a total of 5,131 batters. Manaea has an earned run average of 4.06 (allowing 555 earned runs) and sports a WHIP of 1.203, permitting 1,135 hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and issuing 344 walks.
The Philadelphia Phillies boast a team on-base percentage of .327 and a batting average of .257 this season. They rank 20th in the league with 1,133 strikeouts while recording 1,226 hits. This season, the Phillies have hit 172 home runs and accrued 640 RBIs, with a slugging percentage of .423 and an average of 4.75 runs per game (ranking 10th overall). They have also tallied 231 doubles and drawn 459 walks, scoring 665 runs.
The Phillies’ pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.243 and a collective FIP of 3.68, ranking 17th with 1,163 hits allowed. Their combined ERA is 3.83 (528 earned runs permitted), with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 9.30 (1,278 strikeouts to 381 walks). The team has given up 149 home runs, allowing 4.09 runs per 9 innings, placing them 5th in the league.
With 134 save scenarios, the Phillies have achieved 69 holds and recorded 23 blown saves. Relievers have entered 62 save opportunities, converting 39. Philadelphia’s bullpen has pitched in 154 high-leverage situations and 93 with base runners on. Currently, they have an inherited score percentage of 33.8% across 136 inherited runners and maintain a save rate of 62.9%, positioning them 13th in MLB.
Philadelphia’s defense has successfully turned 91 double plays, with a fielding percentage of .989—ranking 3rd in the league. The team has made 1,200 assists, 53 errors, and recorded 3,727 putouts across 11,181 innings played, achieving a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (25th in baseball).
In his career, Aaron Nola has allowed 1,504 hits while earning 1,851 strikeouts over 1,690 innings pitched. Nola holds a career record of 107-87, with an ERA of 3.83 and allowing 8.0 hits per nine innings pitched. He has given up 719 earned runs and boasts a WHIP of 1.153 along with a FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio is 4.17, having faced 6,941 batters throughout his major league journey.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Tony Sink’s Prediction: Back Philadelphia (-122)
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