- Matchup: New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs
- Date: Thursday, September 25, 2025
- Venue: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
- Broadcast: Marquee
- Betting Odds: New York Mets (+102) Chicago Cubs (-122)
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This Thursday, Wrigley Field will host an exciting matchup as the Chicago Cubs (88-69) face off against the New York Mets (81-76). The betting odds feature New York at +102 while Chicago stands at -122. The total runs for the game are set at 8, with starting pitchers Nolan McLean and Shota Imanaga taking the mound.
The New York Mets are currently averaging 4.8 runs per game, ranking them 9th in the league. With a total of 748 runs and a .327 on-base percentage, they’ve recorded 256 doubles and 218 home runs. They’ve also accrued 729 RBIs and 1,326 hits this season, boasting a batting average of .251. The Mets hold a slugging percentage of .430 and have struck out 1,281 times while drawing 544 walks.
The Mets currently carry a team ERA of 4.00, placing them 17th in the league, and have struck out 1,350 batters. This season, they’ve allowed 143 home runs and a total of 690 runs, ranking 18th in MLB. Their pitchers have issued 544 walks, and their FIP stands at 3.88. New York has allowed 1,300 hits (averaging 8.4 per nine innings) and has given up 618 earned runs, resulting in a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.48 along with a collective WHIP of 1.33.
This season, the Mets have utilized 520 relievers, with the bullpen inheriting 248 runners, of which 34.3% have scored. They’ve compiled 39 saves thus far, converting 28 out of 67 save opportunities for a save percentage of 58.2%. The relievers have been in 164 save situations and have accumulated 96 holds, ranking 8th in MLB. Mets relievers have entered games with players on base 169 times and have faced 184 high-leverage situations.
In the field, the Mets have turned 68.7% of balls in play into outs over their 12,510 innings, placing them 24th in professional baseball. The Minnesota Twins have notched 4,170 putouts this season, along with 1,426 assists and 78 errors, yielding a fielding percentage of .986 and ranking 15th in the majors with a total of 117 double plays.
McLean, with a career record of 4-1, has a FIP of 1.26 while facing 165 batters in the majors. He has allowed 29 hits (6.2 hits per 9 innings) along with 14 walks. With an earned run average of 1.28 (6 earned runs allowed), his WHIP sits at 1.019 after pitching 42 innings, during which he has tallied 46 strikeouts.
The Cubs have achieved a slugging percentage of .425, averaging 4.82 runs per game (8th in the league). They’ve secured 259 doubles, received 541 walks, and scored 757 runs. The club has hit 209 home runs with 737 RBIs, although they’ve struck out 1,233 times (25th in MLB) and attained a total of 1,325 hits. Chicago’s on-base percentage is .320 with a batting average of .249 this season.
Chicago’s pitching staff has allowed 634 runs so far this year, compiling an ERA of 3.82 (590 earned runs). They’ve given up 196 home runs and permit 4.11 runs per 9 innings (6th in MLB). The team holds a WHIP of 1.186 and a FIP of 4.20. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio sits at 7.90 (1,214 strikeouts to 396 walks), ranking them 10th in total hits allowed with 1,252.
This season, Cubs relievers have been called upon in 62 save chances and have secured 42 saves, marking a 67.7% save percentage, ranking 5th in baseball. A total of 509 relief pitchers have seen action, entering games 157 times in high-leverage situations and 98 times with runners on base. Chicago’s bullpen has prevented 34.1% of inherited runners from scoring out of 138 opportunities. In 171 save situations, the Cubs have registered 106 holds and 20 blown saves.
With an impressive defensive record, the Cubs have turned 116 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .989, ranking 5th in MLB. The team has accrued 1,306 assists, made 60 errors, and achieved 4,170 putouts this season. Their defensive efficiency stands at 71.8%, placing them 3rd in the majors over 12,510 innings played.
Imanaga, having faced 1,235 batters over his career, has allowed 257 hits while racking up 288 strikeouts across 312 innings pitched. Accumulating a 24-10 career record, he has an earned run average of 3.11, giving up 7.4 hits per nine innings and 108 earned runs, with a WHIP of 0.993 and a FIP of 3.1. His K/BB ratio stands at 5.43.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Chicago (-122) and the under 8 runs
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