Matchup: New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds
Date: Saturday, September 6, 2025
Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Ohio
Betting Odds: New York Mets (-145) vs. Cincinnati Reds (+125)
As the New York Mets (75-65) head to Great American Ball Park this Saturday, they aim to secure a victory against the Cincinnati Reds (70-70). Current betting odds place New York at -145 while Cincinnati comes in at +125. The total runs for this game have been set at 8, with Tylor Megill and Brady Singer taking the mound as starting pitchers.
The Mets have recorded a total of 231 doubles and hit 193 home runs as a collective unit this season. Their slugging percentage stands at .431, with 1,114 strikeouts and 497 walks. As a team, the New York Mets generate an average of 4.8 runs per game, ranking 9th in the league. With 658 RBIs and 1,185 hits, they maintain a batting average of .251 and have scored 674 runs, boasting an on-base percentage of .330.
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The Mets’ pitching staff features a team ERA of 3.91 (13th in MLB), having struck out 1,203 batters. They’ve allowed 125 home runs along with 605 runs, placing them 15th in the league. Their pitchers have issued 493 walks, maintaining a FIP of 3.86 this season. New York’s staff has conceded 1,149 hits (averaging 8.3 per 9 innings) along with 539 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio stands at 2.44, with a WHIP of 1.32.
The Mets bullpen has faced runners on base 151 times and has appeared in high-pressure situations 166 times, achieving 86 holds this season (8th in MLB). Their save percentage is 60.7%, having converted 37 saves out of 61 opportunities. This year, their bullpen pitchers have inherited 226 runners, with 34.1% of those scoring. The Mets have utilized 458 relief pitchers throughout the season.
This season, the Minnesota Twins have achieved 3,720 putouts along with 1,259 assists and 67 errors. Their fielding percentage stands at .987, good for 11th in the majors, and they’ve turned 105 double plays. The Mets have converted 69% of balls in play into outs during 11,160 innings, ranking 23rd in the league.
Megill has a career win-loss record of 26-26 and holds a FIP of 4.40, having faced 1,788 batters in the major leagues. He’s allowed 405 hits (8.9 per nine innings) and has issued 163 walks, resulting in an ERA of 4.46 (203 earned runs). With a career WHIP of 1.388, Megill has pitched 409 innings and recorded 435 strikeouts.
The Reds boast a slugging percentage of .393 and average 4.53 runs per game, placing them 13th in MLB. They have tallied 229 doubles, earned 456 walks, and scored 634 runs. Cincinnati has also hit 138 home runs this season, alongside 598 RBIs. With 1,216 strikeouts (8th in MLB) and 1,173 hits, they have achieved a .248 batting average and a .318 on-base percentage.
As a pitching staff, the Reds maintain a WHIP of 1.250 and a FIP of 4.16. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.60 (1,186 strikeouts compared to 438 walks), and they rank 8th in total hits allowed with 1,111. They have surrendered 166 home runs and permit an average of 4.41 runs per 9 innings (16th in MLB). This year, their pitching unit has allowed 607 runs, resulting in a 3.95 ERA (544 earned runs).
The Reds’ bullpen has been called upon in 52 save chances, converting 32, placing them 20th in MLB for save percentage at 61.5%. They have utilized 481 relief pitchers this season, entering high-pressure situations 142 times. The Cincinnati bullpen has an inherited runner scoring percentage of 32.8% across 189 inherited runners, tallying 88 holds and 20 blown saves in 142 save situations.
Across 11,157 innings played, the Reds have an efficiency of 70.7% on defense (8th in MLB). Their fielding percentage is .984 (26th in the majors), with a total of 90 double plays, 1,059 assists, and 80 errors.
Singer, holding a career mark of 48-53, has an ERA of 4.25, allowing 8.9 hits per nine innings. His career K/BB ratio is 2.95, having faced 3,540 batters. He has conceded a total of 391 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.315 and a FIP of 4.2. In his MLB career, Singer has allowed 823 hits and recorded 785 strikeouts over 828 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Recommendation: Bet on New York (-145)
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