Matchup: New York Mets vs Detroit Tigers
Date: Wednesday, September 3, 2025
Venue: Comerica Park, Detroit, MI
Television: FanDuel Sports Network Detroit
Betting Odds: New York (+110) Detroit (-132)
Comerica Park will host an exciting matchup on Wednesday as the Detroit Tigers (80-59) face off against the New York Mets (74-64). The odds favor the Tigers at -132, while the Mets are positioned at +110. The total runs are set at 9. The anticipated starting pitchers are Clay Holmes and Casey Mize.
This season, the New York Mets are averaging 4.8 runs per game, ranking them 9th in the league. They have scored a total of 660 runs, boasting an on-base percentage of .329. The Mets have hit 228 doubles and launched 189 home runs, accumulating 644 RBIs and racking up 1,160 hits, with a batting average of .250. Their slugging percentage stands at .430, with 1,106 strikeouts and 490 walks for the season.
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The Mets have recorded a team ERA of 3.89 this season (14th in MLB), with 1,186 strikeouts across their pitching staff. They have surrendered 124 home runs and a total of 594 runs (16th in the league). New York has issued 484 walks, with a FIP of 3.86. Their pitchers have allowed 1,131 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) alongside 529 earned runs. The team showcases a K/BB ratio of 2.45 and a collective WHIP of 1.32.
The Mets’ bullpen holds a save rate of 60.7%, entering 147 save circumstances. They have inherited 222 runners this season, with 33.8% scoring. The staff has pitched in 148 instances with runners on base and 165 high leverage situations, totaling 453 relief appearances this year. The unit has registered 86 holds (8th in baseball) and 37 saves from 61 attempts.
The Mets currently have 3,669 putouts, 1,239 assists, and 66 errors, with a fielding percentage of .987—ranking them 12th in the league. They have converted 69.1% of balls in play into outs across 11,007 innings, placing them 23rd in MLB.
Clay Holmes has pitched for 479 innings, securing 471 strikeouts during his MLB career. With a record of 35-28, Holmes has a FIP of 3.63 and an ERA of 3.68 (allowing 196 ERs). His career WHIP is 1.306, allowing 417 hits, averaging 7.8 hits per nine innings, and has issued 209 walks.
The Tigers boast a slugging percentage of .423 and average 4.81 runs per game (8th in MLB). They have accumulated 213 doubles, drawing 431 walks, and scoring 669 runs. This season, Detroit has hit 176 home runs alongside 642 RBIs. They have struck out 1,225 times (4th in MLB) and have 1,173 hits, maintaining a team OBP of .319 and a batting average of .250.
With a WHIP of 1.229 and a FIP of 3.98, Detroit ranks 10th in MLB for total hits allowed (1,107). Their pitching staff has allowed 581 runs with an ERA of 3.84 (526 earned runs). They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.60 (1,182 strikeouts to 407 walks), allowing 156 home runs and 4.24 runs per 9 innings (12th in MLB).
In 120 save situations, the Tigers have achieved 62 holds and experienced 18 blown saves. Their relievers have entered 54 save opportunities, recording 36 saves. Detroit’s bullpen has pitched 118 times in high leverage situations and 148 times with runners on base. Their inherited score percentage stands at 27.5% (from 204 inherited base runners), placing them 7th in MLB with a save percentage of 66.7%, deploying 424 relief pitchers this season.
Throughout their 11,094 innings played, the Tigers have a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (12th in professional baseball), turning 112 double plays and maintaining a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in baseball). They have achieved 1,189 assists, 72 errors, and collected 3,698 putouts this year.
In his professional baseball career, Casey Mize has allowed 419 hits while accumulating 333 strikeouts over 411 innings pitched. He suffered 194 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.304 and a FIP of 4.2, maintaining a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.85 against 1,755 hitters. Mize holds a 21-24 win-loss record with an ERA of 4.25, conceding 9.2 hits per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Back Detroit (-132)
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