Matchup: New York Mets vs Kansas City Royals
Scheduled Date: Saturday, July 12, 2025
Venue: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Kansas City
Betting Odds: New York Mets (-144), Kansas City Royals (+120)
This Saturday, the Kansas City Royals (46-48) will clash with the New York Mets (53-41) at Kauffman Stadium. The betting odds favor the Mets at -144, while the Royals stand at +120. The total runs posted for this matchup is 8. The starting pitchers are slated to be Frankie Montas for the Royals and Michael Lorenzen for the Mets.

As a unit, the New York Mets are averaging 4.4 runs per game, ranking them 15th in the league. They have accumulated a total of 413 runs with an on-base percentage (OBP) of .323. The Mets have recorded 147 doubles and hit 121 home runs this season. They boast 403 RBIs and have notched up 765 hits, while their team batting average stands at .244. With a slugging percentage of .415, they have struck out 737 times and drawn 322 walks.
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The Mets have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.35 and their pitchers have a WHIP of 1.30. The Mets’ pitching staff has surrendered 82 home runs and a total of 374 runs (ranked 11th in the league). They have allowed 744 hits, averaging 8.0 hits per 9 innings, and have given up 333 earned runs. The team’s earned run average (ERA) is 3.59, placing them 6th in MLB, with 806 batters struck out. They have issued 343 walks and their Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) stands at 3.79 for the season.
The bullpen for the Mets has entered games with runners on base 104 times and has made 112 high leverage appearances. They have tallied 59 holds (9th in MLB) and recorded a save rate of 61.4%, with 27 saves out of 103 save opportunities, having blown 17 saves this year. The relief corps has inherited 159 base runners, with 34.0% scoring for the opposing team. Overall, the Mets have sent 301 relief pitchers to the mound in the current season.
The Minnesota Twins have accumulated 2,502 putouts this year, alongside 853 assists and 44 errors, achieving a fielding percentage of .987, ranking 11th in the majors with 75 double plays. The Mets have converted 69.8% of balls in play into outs across 7,506 innings, placing them 16th in the league.
Frankie Montas has pitched 758 innings and notched 772 strikeouts over his career. With a career record of 45-47, he possesses a FIP of 4.07, having faced 3,242 hitters. His ERA currently sits at 4.13 (348 earned runs) with a career WHIP of 1.310. Montas has allowed 726 hits (approximately 8.6 hits per nine innings) and has issued 267 walks.
The Kansas City Royals have hit 72 home runs this season, accumulating 317 RBIs. They have achieved 162 doubles, with 222 walks, and scored a total of 321 runs. The Royals possess an OBP of .300 with a team batting average of .245 this year. Their slugging percentage is .375, and they average 3.41 runs per game, ranking them 29th in MLB. The team has been struck out 649 times (29th in baseball) while compiling 770 total hits.
The Royals’ WHIP stands at 1.210, with a collective FIP of 3.81 this season. Their pitching staff is 9th in MLB for total hits allowed, surrendering 738 hits. Kansas City’s pitchers have given up 343 runs, with a team ERA of 3.46 (yielding 321 earned runs). Their strikeout to walk ratio is impressive at 8.20 (762 strikeouts against 272 walks), allowing 95 home runs and yielding 3.70 runs per 9 innings (2nd in the league).
This season, Kansas City’s bullpen has been featured in 38 save opportunities, successfully converting 28 of those chances. They rank 3rd in the league with a 73.7% save rate and have deployed 303 relievers throughout the season. Their relief pitchers have faced high leverage situations 105 times and have appeared with runners on base 92 occasions. The inherited score percentage is 30.5% from 131 inherited base runners. With a total of 88 save situations, the Royals have recorded 49 holds, alongside 10 blown saves.
The Kansas City Royals have executed 71 double plays this season, boasting a fielding percentage of .988 (7th in professional baseball). They have achieved 833 assists, committed 41 errors, and completed 2,505 putouts. Throughout 7,515 innings of play, their defensive efficiency stands at 71.1% (7th in MLB).
Lorenzen has a career win-loss record of 52-52, with an ERA of 4.06 and allowing 8.2 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.08 and has faced 4,032 hitters in his career. He has allowed 430 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.311 and a FIP of 4.0. Over his professional baseball career, Lorenzen has permitted 873 hits and recorded 784 strikeouts in 953 innings pitched.
Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB contest against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Recommendation: Back New York (-144)
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