Matchup: New York Mets vs Washington Nationals
Scheduled Date: Wednesday, August 20, 2025
Venue: Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.
Broadcasting: MASN
Betting Odds: New York (-144) Washington (+120)
On Wednesday, Nationals Park will host an exciting matchup as the Washington Nationals (50-74) aim to defeat the New York Mets (66-58). The betting line has New York favored at -144, while Washington holds an underdog position at +120. The total runs over/under is set at 8. The expected starting pitchers for this game are Kodai Senga and Brad Lord.
This season, New York boasts a slugging percentage of .415, recording 1,001 strikeouts while drawing 426 walks. They have registered a total of 539 RBIs alongside 1,008 hits, resulting in a batting average of .244. The Mets have also contributed 199 doubles and 160 home runs. Collectively, the team has scored 554 runs, yielding an on-base percentage (OBP) of .321. Presently, the New York Mets average 4.5 runs per contest, positioning them 13th in the league.
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The Mets’ K/BB ratio stands at 2.37, while their pitching unit holds a WHIP of 1.32. They’ve allowed 115 home runs and a total of 518 runs this season, ranking 10th in baseball. New York has given up 1,004 hits (averaging 8.2 per 9 innings) and 462 earned runs. The Mets’ team ERA currently rests at 3.78 (7th in MLB), along with 1,059 strikeouts. Furthermore, their pitchers have issued 446 walks, resulting in a collective FIP of 3.93.
The Mets’ bullpen has achieved a save percentage of 62.1% across 138 save opportunities. This season, they’ve inherited 197 runners, with 34.5% of those resulting in runs. Mets relievers have entered the game with base runners on 133 occasions and have made 155 appearances in high-leverage scenarios. Overall, the Mets have utilized 408 relievers this year. The bullpen has secured 80 holds (ranked 7th in MLB) and has converted 36 saves out of 58 chances.
The Minnesota Twins currently have 3,300 putouts, 1,118 assists, and 59 errors, yielding a fielding percentage of .987, which ranks 12th in MLB. They have also turned 91 double plays. The Mets have converted 69.5% of balls in play into outs over 9,900 innings, placing them 18th in professional baseball.
Kodai Senga has pitched for a total of 270 innings, racking up 306 strikeouts during his MLB career. With a career win-loss record of 20-11, he boasts a FIP of 2.72, having faced 1,128 hitters. His season ERA is 2.76 (with 83 earned runs allowed) and he holds a WHIP of 1.217, allowing 203 hits (6.8 hits per 9 innings) while issuing 126 walks.
The Nationals, on the other hand, have a slugging percentage of .388 and average 4.28 runs per game (20th in the league). They’ve recorded 206 doubles, walked 357 times, and scored 531 runs. Washington has also hit 118 home runs and amassed 512 RBIs. The team has struck out 970 times (26th in baseball) and registered a total of 1,018 hits, resulting in a batting average of .244 and an OBP of .309 this season.
The Nationals’ pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.442 with a FIP of 4.57. Their K/BB ratio is currently 7.80 (with 942 strikeouts against 418 walks). They sit at 29th in MLB for total hits allowed, having given up 1,153 hits, and 153 home runs, allowing 5.64 runs per 9 innings (29th in the league). Washington has surrendered a total of 682 runs, holding an ERA of 5.33 (with 645 earned runs).
Washington’s bullpen has been called into action 39 times for save attempts, successfully converting 24 saves. They rank 18th in MLB with a save percentage of 61.5%, having deployed 437 relievers this season. Their relief unit has participated in high-leverage situations 95 times and has had runners on base 128 times. This season, 40.6% of inherited runners have scored against Washington relievers. Out of 89 save chances, the Nationals have secured 49 holds but have also experienced 15 blown saves.
Across 9,804 innings, the Nationals hold a defensive efficiency rating of 67.7% (29th in professional baseball). They’ve executed 98 double plays and own a .985 fielding percentage (20th in the majors). This season, Washington has recorded 1,064 assists, committed 68 errors, and achieved a total of 3,268 putouts.
Brad Lord, with a 3-6 career win-loss record, showcases a 3.26 ERA and allows 8.1 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio stands at 2.52, having faced 374 batters over his career. He has conceded 33 earned runs and has a WHIP of 1.220 alongside a FIP of 3.20. Throughout his MLB tenure, Lord has yielded 82 hits and tallied 73 strikeouts in 91 innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Bet on Washington (+120)
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