Matchup: New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays
Date: Tuesday, August 19, 2025
Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field, Tampa, FL
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Sun
Betting Odds: New York (-210) Tampa Bay (+172)
At George M. Steinbrenner Field, the Tampa Bay Rays (61-64) are set to clash with the New York Yankees (67-57) this Tuesday. The Yankees are favored at -210 while the Rays are sitting at +172. The betting total for this matchup is established at 8.5. Anticipated starting pitchers include Carlos Rodon for New York and Shane Baz for Tampa Bay.
The New York Yankees currently average 5.1 runs per game, ranking them 3rd in the league. They have notched a total of 636 runs with an on-base percentage (OBP) of .330. The team has recorded 202 doubles and hit 195 home runs this season, contributing to 610 RBIs and a total of 1,049 hits, which results in a batting average of .250. New York boasts a slugging percentage of .446, albeit with 1,081 strikeouts to their name, while drawing 481 walks.
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The Yankees possess a team ERA of 4.02, placing them 16th in Major League Baseball, with pitchers recording 1,104 strikeouts. The Yankees’ pitching squad has permitted 140 home runs and a total of 537 runs (16th in MLB). The pitching staff has issued 429 walks with a collective FIP of 4.05 this season. New York has allowed 948 hits (averaging 7.8 hits per 9 innings) alongside 491 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.57, and the overall WHIP is 1.25.
New York’s relief pitchers have a save success rate of 66.0%, having participated in 126 save opportunities. This season, 200 inherited runners have been introduced, with 26.5% of them scoring. Yankees pitchers have faced runners on base 135 times and have had 124 high-leverage game appearances, sending 415 relief pitchers to the mound throughout the season. Currently, the relief team has achieved 75 holds (10th in the league) while recording 33 saves, having failed to complete 17 of 50 save chances.
With an impressive defensive rate of 70.9%, the Yankees convert 9,888 innings of play into outs, ranking them 7th in professional baseball. The team has concluded 3,296 putouts, 1,050 assists, and 69 errors this season, resulting in a fielding percentage of .984, placing them 23rd overall. They’ve also executed 81 double plays.
Rodon has pitched a total of 1,232 innings, achieving 1,370 strikeouts in his professional career. With a career record of 87-70, his FIP sits at 3.73 after facing 5,184 major league hitters. His current ERA is 3.78, with 518 earned runs allowed, and a WHIP of 1.228. Rodon has permitted 1,051 hits (averaging 7.7 hits per nine innings) along with 462 walks.
The Tampa Bay Rays hold a team slugging percentage of .398, averaging 4.45 runs per game (14th in MLB). The team has accumulated 186 doubles, walked 362 times, and scored a total of 556 runs. They have hit 137 home runs this season and driven in 525 RBIs. With 1,068 strikeouts (11th in the league) and 1,055 hits, their OBP stands at .313 and batting average is also at .250 this campaign.
Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.213 and FIP of 4.16 for the season, with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 8.70 (1,064 strikeouts to 354 walks). Ranking 7th in the league, they have allowed 985 hits and 159 home runs, conceding 4.21 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB). Overall, the Rays have allowed 517 runs this season, resulting in a team ERA of 3.92.
In 49 save situations, Tampa Bay’s bullpen has completed 28 saves this year, placing them 24th with a save rate of 57.1%. They have utilized 390 bullpen pitchers this season, who have participated 119 times in critical game moments and 88 times with runners on base. Their inherited scoring rate is 34.4% for 128 runners. The Rays have achieved 69 holds while blowing 21 of their 119 save chances.
Over 9,942 innings played, Tampa Bay’s defensive efficiency stands at 70.8%, placing them 8th in MLB. They have successfully turned 117 double plays and sport a fielding percentage of .987, ranking 10th in professional baseball with a total of 1,107 assists, 58 errors, and 3,314 putouts recorded this year.
In his career, Baz has allowed 220 hits alongside 257 strikeouts in 254 innings pitched. Holding a career record of 15-14, he has an earned run average of 4.21 and has conceded 7.8 hits per nine innings. His WHIP is 1.216, with a FIP of 4.2, and a K/BB ratio of 2.89 after facing 1,061 professional hitters.
Who will dominate tonight’s MLB game, beating the spread or moneyline?
Tony Sink’s Prediction: Choose Tampa Bay (+172)
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