Matchup: New York Yankees vs Houston Astros
Scheduled Date: Tuesday, September 2, 2025
Venue: Daikin Park, Houston, TX
Broadcast: Space City Home Network
Betting Odds: New York (-145) Houston (+125)
The Houston Astros (75-61) are set to face off against the New York Yankees (76-60) on Tuesday at Daikin Park. The betting line favors the Yankees at -145, while the Astros are listed at +125. The projected over/under for the match is 8.5 runs, with Max Fried and Framber Valdez expected to take the mound.
This season, the Yankees have a slugging percentage of .457 and have struck out 1,200 times while drawing 533 walks. They have accumulated 690 RBIs and 1,156 hits, boasting a batting average of .251. With 218 doubles and 232 home runs, they have scored a total of 717 runs and maintain an on-base percentage of .331. The Yankees are currently averaging 5.3 runs per game, placing them at the top of the league.
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The Yankees’ pitching staff has posted a season ERA of 3.92 (15th in the league) and has recorded 1,217 strikeouts. They have allowed 147 home runs along with 582 runs total (16th in baseball). This season, they have issued 475 walks, with a FIP of 3.99. New York has surrendered 1,048 hits (7.8 hits per 9 innings) and 527 earned runs, holding a K/BB ratio of 2.56 and a team WHIP of 1.26.
In save situations, Yankees relievers have a 63.6% success rate, having entered 138 save opportunities. They have inherited 220 runners this year, with 26.4% scoring. The relievers have faced baserunners in 145 instances and appeared in high-leverage situations 138 times. This season, the Yankees have called upon 452 relievers, achieving 82 holds (10th in the league) and converting 35 saves out of 55 attempts.
This season, the New York Mets have achieved 3,629 putouts, alongside 1,166 assists and 76 errors. Their fielding percentage stands at .984, ranking 21st in the league, and they’ve turned 91 double plays. The Yankees have converted 70.6% of balls in play into outs over 10,887 innings, positioning themselves 9th in the league.
Starting pitcher Fried (career win-loss record of 87-41) has a FIP of 3.03 after facing 4,281 batters. He has allowed 921 hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) and issued 288 walks. Fried’s earned run average is 3.07, with 357 earned runs allowed and a WHIP of 1.156. With a total of 1,046 innings pitched, he has accumulated 1,017 strikeouts throughout his MLB career.
The Astros are averaging a slugging percentage of .401 and scoring 4.21 runs per game (22nd in the league). They have recorded 205 doubles, received 401 walks, and scored 572 runs this season. So far, they’ve hit 151 home runs and amassed 547 RBIs. Houston has struck out 1,070 times (25th in MLB) and secured 1,165 hits, with a team batting average of .253 and an OBP of .319.
The Astros’ pitching staff has yielded 554 runs this year, holding a 3.83 ERA (516 earned runs allowed). They have allowed 162 home runs, conceding 4.12 runs per 9 innings (6th in MLB). As a team, their WHIP stands at 1.220, coupled with a FIP of 3.92. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 9.60 (1,287 strikeouts to 426 walks), ranking them 5th in MLB for total hits allowed with 1,052.
In 134 save situations, the Astros have achieved 77 holds and encountered 14 blown saves. Houston’s bullpen has entered 54 save opportunities, successfully converting 40 saves. These relievers have appeared in 145 high-pressure situations, with 106 coming in with runners on base. Houston’s inherited scoring percentage is 23.8% of 147 inherited runners, placing them 2nd in the league with a 74.1% save percentage, utilizing 432 relief pitchers this season.
With a fielding percentage of .988 (7th in the majors), the Houston Astros have successfully executed 90 double plays. They have notched up 1,082 assists, made 57 errors, and recorded 3,635 putouts for the season. Over 10,905 innings played, their defensive efficiency stands at 70.5% (10th in the majors).
In his MLB career, Valdez has permitted 880 hits and earned 1,024 strikeouts over 1,052 innings. Valdez (career record of 80-48) holds a 3.28 ERA while allowing 7.5 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 384 earned runs and maintains a WHIP of 1.195 with a FIP of 3.2, along with a K/BB ratio of 2.72 after facing 4,356 batters in the majors.
Which team will clinch victory in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Tony Sink’s Selection: Back New York (-145)
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