Matchup: New York Yankees vs Atlanta Braves
Scheduled Date: Sunday, July 20, 2025
Venue: Truist Park, Cumberland, GA
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network South
Betting Odds: New York Yankees (-144) | Atlanta Braves (+120)
On Sunday, Truist Park will witness the Atlanta Braves (42-53) face off against the New York Yankees (53-43). The New York Yankees are favored at -144, while the Atlanta Braves come in at +120. The game total is set at 8 runs, with Carlos Rodon and Grant Holmes as the starting pitchers for their respective teams.
The New York Yankees boast a slugging percentage of .455, along with 842 strikeouts and 373 walks. They have recorded 480 RBIs and amassed 836 hits, resulting in a batting average of .256. The team has hit 170 doubles and launched 151 home runs. With a total of 501 runs scored, the Yankees hold a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .336, averaging 5.2 runs per game, which places them 3rd in Major League Baseball.
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The Yankees’ strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.69, with the pitching staff holding a WHIP of 1.21. Yankees pitchers have surrendered 104 home runs and 390 runs this season (ranking 12th in the league). They’ve allowed 712 hits (7.5 per every 9 innings) and 361 earned runs, resulting in an ERA of 3.82 (13th in baseball), and have struck out 859 batters. Their walk rate is at 319 this season, with a team FIP of 3.89.
New York’s relief pitchers have achieved a 71.4% save percentage across 89 save situations. They have inherited 156 runners this season, with 25.6% scoring. The bullpen has had 314 appearances in high-leverage scenarios and has recorded 53 holds (17th in MLB) and accumulated 25 saves this year, failing to convert on 10 of their 35 save opportunities.
With 2,549 putouts, 812 assists, and 45 errors, the Yankees maintain a fielding percentage of .987, ranking 13th in the majors. They’ve converted 71.6% of balls in play into outs across 7,647 defensive innings, placing them 3rd in MLB.
Carlos Rodon has pitched for a total of 1,205 innings, striking out 1,341 batters throughout his career. He carries an earned run average of 3.78, allowing 506 earned runs and holding a WHIP of 1.225. With 1,032 hits allowed (7.7 hits per 9 innings) and 445 walks, Rodon has a career win-loss record of 85-69 and a FIP of 3.72, facing 5,067 batters.
The Atlanta Braves have hit 105 home runs and garnered 375 RBIs this season, with 136 doubles and 320 walks leading to 388 runs scored. They have an OBP of .315 and a batting average of .243 as a team. The Braves’ slugging percentage is .388, averaging 4.08 runs per game (23rd overall). They’ve struck out 819 times (13th in the league) and recorded 784 hits.
The Braves’ pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.244 and a FIP of 3.91 this season. They rank 5th in the league for total hits allowed with 737, having given up 386 runs so far this year and maintaining a team ERA of 3.88 (362 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is notably good at 9.40 (878 strikeouts to 308 walks) while allowing 109 home runs and 4.13 runs per 9 innings (13th in MLB).
The Braves’ bullpen has a 34.9% inherited scoring rate from their 129 inherited runners. Relief pitchers have appeared in 95 high-leverage situations and 97 total with base runners. Within 63 save situations, they’ve tallied 35 holds and have experienced 14 blown saves. Their current save rate of 50.0% ranks 27th in the league, employing 301 different pitchers throughout the season. Atlanta’s bullpen has stepped in during 28 save opportunities and has successfully converted on 14 of those occasions.
Over the course of 7,566 innings, the Braves’ defensive efficiency stands at 70.4% (12th in professional baseball). They’ve executed 64 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .990 (2nd in baseball), with 815 assists, 33 errors, and 2,522 putouts recorded this season.
In his career, Grant Holmes has allowed 153 hits while achieving 189 strikeouts over 173 innings pitched. He has a 3.69 ERA, permitting 8.0 hits per 9 innings and has surrendered 71 earned runs, sporting a WHIP of 1.259 and a FIP of 3.6. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.91, having faced 725 batters in his career.
Which team will triumph in this MLB matchup, whether against the spread or on the moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Choose Atlanta (+120)
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