Matchup: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox
Event Date: Friday, September 12, 2025
Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Broadcast: NESN
Betting Odds: New York Yankees (-275), Boston Red Sox (+220)
On Friday, Fenway Park will host the Boston Red Sox (81-66) as they face off against the New York Yankees (80-65). The moneyline for this matchup places New York at -275 and Boston at +220. The over/under for this game is set at 9 runs, with Luis Gil and Lucas Giolito expected to take the mound as the starting pitchers.
The New York Yankees have an impressive average of 5.2 runs scored per game, placing them at the top of the MLB rankings. They have a total of 752 runs with an on-base percentage of .328. The Yankees have recorded 228 doubles and launched 246 home runs, accumulating 725 RBIs and 1,217 hits this season, resulting in a team batting average of .248. With a slugging percentage of .453, they have struck out 1,292 times while drawing 564 walks.
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The Yankees’ pitching staff holds an ERA of 4.02 this season, ranking 17th overall, and has tallied 1,286 strikeouts. They have given up 157 home runs and 632 runs (16th in the league). Their pitchers have issued 506 walks and have a FIP of 4.03 for the current season. New York’s pitchers have allowed 1,128 hits (averaging 7.9 hits per 9 innings) and 575 earned runs, with a K/BB ratio of 2.54, while maintaining a collective WHIP of 1.27.
This season, Yankees pitchers have faced base runners in 155 instances and appeared in 148 high-pressure situations. The bullpen has recorded 88 holds (ranking 9th in the MLB). With a save percentage of 63.8%, the Yankees’ relievers have had 147 save opportunities, achieving 37 saves and witnessing 21 blown saves from 58 chances. They have inherited 237 runners with 28.3% of those scoring. A total of 479 relievers have taken the mound for New York this season.
New York has converted 70.4% of balls in play into outs over 11,598 innings, ranking them 10th in the league. The Mets have made 3,866 putouts, assisted on 1,251 plays, and committed 84 errors, holding a fielding percentage of .984 (24th in MLB) with 96 double plays turned.
Luis Gil has pitched 220 innings during his MLB career, achieving 244 strikeouts. With a career win-loss record of 19-9, he has a FIP of 3.46 and has faced 939 hitters. Gil’s earned run average is 3.52 (allowing 86 earned runs) and his WHIP stands at 1.277, having given up 160 hits (6.5 hits per 9 innings) and 121 walks.
The Boston Red Sox have an on-base percentage of .324 and a batting average of .254 this season. They have been struck out 1,293 times (3rd in the league) with a total of 1,284 hits, along with 173 home runs and 692 RBIs. The Red Sox are scoring an average of 4.94 runs per game (5th in MLB) and have a slugging percentage of .425, while recording 300 doubles and 726 runs with 470 walks.
Boston’s pitching staff holds a team WHIP of 1.291 and a FIP of 4.02 this season. They are 20th in the league for the total hits allowed, with 1,217 hits given up. The Red Sox have conceded 619 runs, reflected in a team ERA of 3.74 (546 earned runs allowed). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 8.30 (1,218 strikeouts versus 479 walks), and they have allowed 150 home runs while yielding 4.24 runs per 9 innings (12th in MLB).
Currently, the Red Sox have faced 147 save situations, achieved 78 holds, and suffered 26 blown saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped up in 67 save situations, converting 41 saves. In 173 high-pressure instances, Boston’s bullpen has faced base runners 143 times and has an inherited scoring percentage of 32.3% for the 195 inherited runners. Their save percentage is currently at 61.2%, placing them 21st in the league, with 483 relief pitchers appearing on the mound this season.
The Boston Red Sox have turned 119 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .980 (29th in the majors). They have accumulated 1,335 assists, making 105 errors and recording 3,943 putouts across 11,829 innings. Their defensive efficiency stands at 69.1% (22nd in MLB).
Giolito, with a career record of 71-65, shows an ERA of 4.31 while allowing 7.9 hits per nine innings. He has faced 4,804 opposing batters, garnishing a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.75. With a WHIP of 1.255 and a FIP of 4.2, Giolito has surrendered 548 earned runs and given up 1,004 hits, tallying 1,184 strikeouts over the course of 1,143 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown, covering the spread or winning outright?
Guy Bruhn’s Selection: Back Boston (+220)
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