Matchup: New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros
Scheduled Date: Wednesday, September 3, 2025
Venue: Daikin Park, Houston, TX
Broadcast: Space City Home Network
Betting Odds: New York (-128) Houston (+106)
The New York Yankees (76-61) are set to visit Daikin Park this Wednesday to face off against the Houston Astros (76-62). The betting lines favor New York at -128, while Houston sits at +106. The over/under for this matchup is established at 8.5 runs. Starters for the game include Will Warren and Jason Alexander.
The Yankees demonstrate a slugging percentage of .456, with 1,210 strikeouts and 539 walks recorded this season. They’ve accumulated 692 RBIs and notched 1,162 hits, maintaining a batting average of .250. The team has hit 220 doubles and launched 233 home runs, scoring a total of 719 runs with an on-base percentage of .331. Averaging 5.3 runs per game, the New York Yankees currently rank 1st in Major League Baseball.
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The Yankees hold a collective earned run average of 3.92 for the season, ranking 15th in the league, and their pitchers have fanned 1,226 batters. The Yankees’ pitching staff has allowed 149 home runs alongside 585 total runs (15th in MLB). They’ve walked 477 batters with a FIP of 4.00 this season. The team has given up 1,053 hits, averaging 7.8 hits per 9 innings, and has endured 530 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio stands at 2.57, with a team WHIP of 1.26.
The Yankees’ bullpen boasts a save rate of 63.6%, having entered 138 save situations. The relievers have inherited 221 runners this season, with 26.2% scoring. Yankees’ bullpen pitchers have faced runners on base 146 times, displaying 140 appearances in high-pressure scenarios. This season, 454 relief pitchers have been deployed, accounting for 82 holds (10th in the league). They’ve recorded 35 saves, with 20 failed out of 55 save opportunities.
The Yankees successfully convert 70.7% of balls in play into outs over their 10,959 innings played, ranking 8th in professional baseball. The New York Mets have accumulated 3,653 putouts this season, along with 1,172 assists and 76 errors. Their fielding percentage stands at .984, placing them 21st in the league, and they have turned 92 double plays.
Warren has pitched 158 innings, accumulating 178 strikeouts throughout his career. He holds an ERA of 5.18 (91 earned runs) with a WHIP of 1.479. Warren has given up 164 hits (9.3 hits per nine innings) and 70 walks. With an 8-9 career win-loss record, his FIP is rated at 5.10 against 710 batters faced in his major league tenure.
The Astros feature a team slugging % of .401, averaging 4.20 runs per game (24th in MLB). They’ve hit 210 doubles, logged 409 walks, and racked up 580 runs. Houston has achieved 153 home runs this season along with 555 RBIs. They’ve been struck out 1,089 times (24th in baseball) and amassed a total of 1,179 hits, holding a team OBP of .319 and a batting average of .253 for the year.
On the pitching front, the Astros have allowed 560 runs this season with a team ERA of 3.82 (522 earned runs). They permit 4.10 runs per 9 innings (5th in the league) while yielding 165 home runs. The Astros maintain a team WHIP of 1.217 and a cumulative FIP of 3.94 this season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at an impressive 9.60 (1,306 strikeouts to 431 walks). They rank 4th in the league for total hits allowed, with 1,065.
With 136 save situations, the Astros have secured 79 holds and experienced 14 blown saves. Their bullpen has faced 54 save opportunities, successfully achieving 40 saves. They’ve entered 145 times in high-leverage scenarios and 106 times with runners on base, with an inherited score rate of 23.8% out of 147 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 2nd in the league with a 74.1% save rate and have sent 437 relief pitchers to the mound this season.
The Houston Astros have successfully turned 90 double plays and carry a fielding percentage of .988 (7th in professional baseball). They recorded 1,098 assists, 58 errors, and tallied 3,689 putouts for the season. Their defensive efficiency stands at 70.6% (10th in the majors) out of 11,067 innings played.
In his career, Alexander has allowed 143 hits while amassing 92 strikeouts across 125 innings pitched. He has surrendered 71 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.523 and a FIP of 5.0. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 1.92, facing 561 opposing hitters in his professional career. With a 6-4 career win-loss record, Alexander carries an earned run average of 5.10, allowing 10.3 hits per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup, covering the spread or winning outright?
Tony Sink’s Prediction: Back New York (-128)
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