New York Yankees vs Houston Astros Preview, 9/4/2025 MLB Predictions, Top Bets & Odds

Home » New York Yankees vs Houston Astros Preview, 9/4/2025 MLB Predictions, Top Bets & Odds

Matchup: New York Yankees vs Houston Astros

Date: Thursday, September 4, 2025

Venue: Daikin Park, Houston, TX

Broadcast: Space City Home Network

Betting Odds: New York (-196) Houston (+162)

The Houston Astros (76-63) are set to face off against the New York Yankees (77-61) at Daikin Park on Thursday. The moneyline for this anticipated matchup places New York at -196 while Houston sits at +162. The game’s total is established at 8 runs. Expected starters are Carlos Rodon for New York and Cristian Javier for Houston.

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The New York Yankees boast a slugging percentage of .457 with 1,223 strikeouts and 541 walks this season. They have produced 699 RBIs and 1,173 hits, resulting in a batting average of .250. The team has recorded 222 doubles and hit 236 home runs, accumulating 726 runs scored and an on-base percentage of .331. The Yankees lead the league, averaging 5.3 runs per game.

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The Yankees’ strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.57, and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.25. They have allowed 149 home runs and 586 total runs (11th in MLB), with 1,058 hits (averaging 7.8 per 9 innings) and 531 earned runs. Currently, New York’s team ERA stands at 3.90 (14th in MLB), having struck out 1,235 batters. Their pitching unit has issued 480 walks and holds a FIP of 4.00 this season.

The Yankees’ bullpen has a 63.6% save percentage, having participated in 138 save opportunities. They have inherited 221 runners this season, with 26.2% scoring. The bullpen has come in with runners on base 146 times, facing 140 high-leverage situations. With 455 relief appearances this year, they’ve recorded 82 holds (11th in the league), notching 35 saves while blowing 20 of their 55 save chances.

New York has recorded 3,680 putouts, 1,185 assists, and 76 errors this season, giving them a fielding percentage of .985 which ranks 21st in Major League Baseball. They have successfully turned 94 double plays and maintain an out rate of 70.7% from 11,040 innings, which places them 8th in the league.

Rodon has pitched a total of 1,250 innings and notched 1,383 career strikeouts. With a career win-loss record of 90-70, his FIP is 3.71, having faced 5,256 batters across his major league career. Rodon holds an ERA of 3.76 (allowing 523 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.228, giving up 1,064 hits (7.7 hits per nine innings) with 471 walks.

The Houston Astros feature an on-base percentage of .318 and a team batting average of .252. They’ve been struck out 1,098 times (24th in the league) while achieving 1,184 total hits. Houston has recorded 153 home runs this season and 556 RBIs. Their slugging percentage is .400, averaging 4.18 runs per game (25th in the league). They’ve also achieved 210 doubles, walked 412 times, and scored 581 runs.

The Astros possess a WHIP of 1.219 and a team FIP of 3.95. They are ranked 5th in MLB for the fewest hits allowed (1,076) and have given up 168 home runs this season. Houston’s pitching staff allows 4.12 runs per 9 innings (6th in MLB), surrendering 567 runs with a team ERA of 3.85 (529 earned runs).

Hin their bullpen, the Astros have participated in 54 save opportunities, converting 40 into saves, which gives them a ranking of 2nd in MLB with a save percentage of 74.1%. This season, they’ve sent 440 relief pitchers to the mound. Their bullpen has appeared in 145 high-leverage situations and 106 times with runners on base, allowing 23.8% of inherited runners to score. Out of 136 save chances, the Astros have tallied 79 holds and recorded 14 blown saves.

In 11,148 innings on the field, the Astros hold a defensive efficiency rating of 70.6% (10th in baseball). Their season stats include 90 double plays and a fielding percentage of .988 (7th in the majors), alongside 1,102 assists, 58 errors, and 3,716 putouts.

Javier has given up 374 hits during his career and has struck out 580 batters over 517 innings. He has conceded 206 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.135 and a FIP of 3.5. His career K/BB ratio stands at 2.72, facing 2,127 batters to date. With a record of 34-19, Javier has an ERA of 3.59, yielding 6.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB contest, against the spread or moneyline?

Pick from Tony Sink: Take New York (-196)

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