Matchup: New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins
Date: Monday, September 15, 2025
Venue: Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
Broadcast: Twins.TV
Betting Odds: New York Yankees (-144) Minnesota Twins (+120)
The New York Yankees (81-65) are set to face off against the Minnesota Twins (64-82) at Target Field this Monday. The Yankees are favored at -144 on the moneyline, while the Twins are priced at +120. The over/under for this matchup is set at 8.5 runs. The anticipated starting pitchers are Carlos Rodon and Simeon Woods Richardson.
The Yankees are currently averaging 5.2 runs per game, placing them at the top of Major League Baseball. This season, they have scored a total of 761 runs with an on-base percentage of .330. The team boasts 230 doubles and 249 home runs. Additionally, they have driven in 734 runs and achieved 1,231 hits, resulting in a batting average of .249. With a slugging percentage of .455, the Yankees have struck out 1,302 times but have also drawn 569 walks.
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The Yankees’ pitching staff has recorded an earned run average (ERA) of 4.01 this season, ranking 16th in the league, with 1,295 strikeouts to their name. Yankees pitchers have allowed 158 home runs and given up a total of 635 runs this year, also placing them 16th in MLB. As a unit, they have issued 510 walks, and their Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) stands at 4.03. Throughout the season, New York has yielded 1,136 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and accumulated 578 earned runs. They maintain a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.54 and a team WHIP of 1.27.
This year, the Yankees have used 480 relief pitchers, who have inherited 237 baserunners of which 28.3% have scored. The relief corps has notched 38 saves this season but has blown 21 out of 59 save opportunities. The bullpen’s save rate stands at 64.4%, participating in 148 save situations. They have also accumulated 88 holds, ranking 9th in the league. Yankees relievers have faced runners in scoring position 155 times, with 148 high-leverage appearances.
Defensively, the Yankees have converted 70.4% of balls in play into outs, accumulating a total of 11,679 innings. They lead the league with 3,893 putouts, alongside 1,259 assists and 84 errors, achieving a fielding percentage of .984—23rd in the league—and have executed 97 double plays.
Starting pitcher Rodon (91-71 career record) has a FIP of 3.69, having faced 5,305 batters throughout his MLB career. He has allowed 1,072 hits (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and has issued 474 walks. His career ERA sits at 3.75 (with 526 earned runs allowed) and a WHIP of 1.225. Rodon has logged 1,262 innings and has recorded 1,392 strikeouts.
On the other hand, the Minnesota Twins have managed a .312 on-base percentage and a .239 batting average for the season. The team has struck out 1,217 times, ranking 16th in the league, and accumulating 1,169 hits. They have launched 173 home runs and tallied 585 runs driven in. The Twins hold a slugging percentage of .398 and average 4.23 runs per game (23rd in MLB). With 223 doubles, they have also drawn 453 walks and scored a total of 617 runs.
This season, the Minnesota pitching staff has allowed 702 runs, compiling an ERA of 4.60 (with 656 earned runs). They have surrendered 176 home runs and permit 4.92 runs per 9 innings, placing them 25th in baseball. With a team WHIP of 1.330, they have a FIP of 4.14. The Twins have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 8.60, achieving 1,221 strikeouts against 415 walks. In terms of total hits allowed, they rank 25th in the league with 1,291.
This season, the Twins have encountered 139 save opportunities and have racked up 87 holds with 23 blown saves. Their bullpen has stepped up for 50 save chances, successfully converting 27 of them. The Twins’ relievers have appeared 162 times in high-pressure situations, with 110 cases of runners on base. Their inherited scoring rate stands at 36.3% out of 160 inherited runners. They rank 27th in MLB with a save rate of 54.0%, having utilized 492 relief pitchers this season.
Defensively, the Minnesota Twins have executed 89 double plays, maintaining a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in professional baseball). They have accrued 1,092 assists, 75 errors, and achieved 3,849 putouts this year. Over the course of 11,547 innings, their defensive efficiency holds at 68.2% (29th in MLB).
Simeon Woods Richardson has allowed 225 hits throughout his career, while striking out 209 batters over 237 innings. He has given up 117 earned runs, achieving a WHIP of 1.345 and a FIP of 4.4. His strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.22, facing 1,022 hitters in his professional baseball journey. Woods Richardson holds an 11-10 career record with an ERA of 4.44, permitting 8.5 hits per 9 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB contest against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Take Minnesota (+120)
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