Matchup: New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins
Scheduled Date: Wednesday, September 17, 2025
Venue: Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
Broadcast: Twins.TV
Betting Odds: New York Yankees (-275) Minnesota Twins (+220)
On Wednesday, the Minnesota Twins (66-84) will face off against the New York Yankees (83-67) at Target Field. The betting odds currently favor the Yankees at -275, while the Twins are positioned at +220. The over/under for the game is set at 9 runs, with pitchers Luis Gil and Taj Bradley taking the mound.
The New York Yankees are currently averaging 5.2 runs per game, placing them at the top of MLB standings. They have scored a total of 774 runs and maintain an on-base percentage (OBP) of .329. The Yankees have hit 236 doubles and 254 home runs this season. With 747 runs batted in and 1,259 hits, their batting average stands at .248. The team has a slugging percentage of .452 and has struck out 1,347 times while earning 583 walks.
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The Yankees’ pitching staff possesses a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.54 and a combined WHIP of 1.27. They have allowed 163 home runs and a total of 652 earned runs, ranking 16th in MLB. New York pitchers have given up 1,169 hits (averaging 7.9 hits per 9 innings) and have generated a team earned run average (ERA) of 4.02 this season (17th in the league), with 1,325 strikeouts. The pitchers have walked 521 batters, leading to a season FIP of 4.04.
Yankees relievers have come out with runners on base 157 times and have had 152 appearances in crucial situations. Their bullpen has achieved 92 holds this year (ranking 8th in the league) and have a save percentage of 65.6% with 154 save opportunities, converting 40 saves while failing to close out 21. They have inherited 240 runners this season with a scoring rate of 28.3%. A total of 493 relief pitchers have taken the mound for the Yankees this year.
With a fielding efficiency of 70.4% over 11,985 innings, the Yankees rank 11th in the league in converting balls in play into outs. The New York Mets have achieved 3,995 putouts, 1,301 assists, and made 87 errors this season, resulting in a .984 fielding percentage (25th in MLB) and have recorded 102 double plays.
Pitcher Luis Gil (career win-loss record: 20-9) holds a FIP of 3.37 and has faced 962 batters in his career. Allowing 160 hits (6.4 per nine innings), he has walked 125 batters. His ERA is impressive at 3.42 (86 earned runs allowed), with a WHIP of 1.261 over 226 innings pitched, and has notched 248 strikeouts in his MLB career.
The Minnesota Twins have a slugging percentage of .400 and average 4.26 runs per game (24th in MLB). This season, they have produced 231 doubles, walked 466 times, and scored a total of 639 runs. The team has hit 179 home runs and amassed 607 RBIs, striking out 1,244 times (16th in the league), along with 1,208 hits. Their OBP stands at .313, and their batting average is .240.
The Twins’ pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.328 and a FIP of 4.13. They possess a K/BB ratio of 8.60 (1,266 strikeouts against 431 walks), ranking 25th in total hits allowed with 1,322. This season, they’ve relinquished 180 home runs and average 4.92 runs allowed per 9 innings (24th league-wide), conceding 721 total runs and maintaining an ERA of 4.58 (672 earned runs).
Within high leverage situations, the Twins’ bullpen pitchers have inherited scoring chances with a 35.8% success rate on 162 runners. They have pitched in 165 crucial situations and 112 instances with runners on base. Minnesota has recorded 90 holds and 24 blown saves in 143 save opportunities, posting a save percentage of 52.9%, with 506 relief pitchers used this season. The team has achieved 27 saves in 51 chances.
With 90 double plays executed this year, the Twins have a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in professional baseball). Throughout the season, they have recorded 1,127 assists, made 77 errors, and have a total of 3,960 putouts over 11,880 innings, resulting in a defensive efficiency of 68.2% (29th in professional baseball).
In his professional career, Taj Bradley has allowed 349 hits while achieving 397 strikeouts in 374 innings pitched. He has given up 200 earned runs, leading to a WHIP of 1.298 and a FIP of 4.7. With a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.90, Bradley has faced 1,599 batters and holds a career record of 19-26 with a 4.81 ERA, allowing 8.4 hits per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Bet on Minnesota (+220)
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