- Matchup: North Carolina Tar Heels vs NC State Wolfpack
- Date: Saturday, November 29, 2025
- Venue: Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh, NC
- Broadcast: ACC Network
- Betting Odds/Point Spread: Wolfpack favored by 7.5 points
- Total Points Over-Under: 47.5
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The North Carolina Tar Heels (4-7) are set to clash with the NC State Wolfpack (6-5) at Carter-Finley Stadium on Saturday, November 29, 2025. The Wolfpack are currently favored by 7.5 points according to Vegas odds, with a total set at 47.5 points.
Entering this matchup, the North Carolina Tar Heels hold a record of 4-7 for the season. In their most recent outing, they faced off against the Duke Blue Devils, succumbing to a close 32-25 defeat. During that game, the Tar Heels executed 25 rushing attempts, accumulating 101 yards and averaging 4.0 yards per carry. Overall, North Carolina ran 52 plays for a total of 305 yards. Defensively, they allowed the Blue Devils to complete 20 of 33 passes for 175 yards, achieving a completion rate of 60.6%. They struggled in the trenches, giving up 177 rushing yards on 43 carries, which averages out to 4.1 yards per carry.

In terms of scoring, the North Carolina Tar Heels average 19.3 points per game. Their ground game averages 108.5 rushing yards per game, placing them 122nd in the nation. Overall, they have amassed 3,200 total yards this season. In the red zone, the Tar Heels have recorded 11 passing touchdowns along with 11 rushing touchdowns. They have converted 179 first downs and committed 68 penalties totaling 622 yards, alongside turning the ball over 14 times.
Defensively, NC has surrendered 2,334 passing yards this season, ranking them 58th in Division 1, with an average of 212.2 yards allowed per game and a completion percentage against of 63.2%. Overall, they rank 36th defensively by yielding 332.5 yards per game, and they have allowed 13 touchdown passes and 15 rushing touchdowns. Opponents have averaged 3.4 yards per rush and 120.3 rushing yards per game against them, totaling 1,323 rushing yards allowed this season over 11 games. Overall, the Tar Heels rank 53rd in college football for defensive performance, giving up an average of 22.9 points per game.
The NC State Wolfpack come into this contest with a 6-5 record this season. In their previous matchup, they secured a win against the Florida State Seminoles, finishing with a score of 21-11. The Wolfpack averaged 3.2 yards per carry, racking up 134 rushing yards on 42 attempts. They completed the game with a total yardage of 286 yards across 68 plays (averaging 4.2 yards per play). On the defensive side, NM State maintained a completion rate of 50.0% against them, conceding 203 yards through the air on 16 completions from 32 attempts, while allowing 180 rushing yards on 34 carries (5.3 yards per carry).
The NC State offense averages 397.8 yards per game, ranking them 60th nationally. This season, they have accrued 583 total yards in penalties from 61 infractions, placing them 93rd in college football for self-inflicted wounds. They average 145.8 rushing yards per game, with a total of 1,604 rushing yards for the year. Additionally, they have thrown 10 interceptions, allowed 3 fumbles to be recovered by opponents, and recorded a total of 221 first downs. Regarding scoring, the Wolfpack are positioned 56th with an average of 29.1 points per game. They have passed for a total of 2,772 yards thus far, averaging 252.0 passing yards per game, which is good enough for 43rd in Division 1.
Defensively, NC State has allowed 1,585 rushing yards (averaging 144.1 yards per game) along with 17 rushing touchdowns this season. Conversely, they have given up 19 passing touchdowns and are allowing 291.1 passing yards per game, ranking them 136th in college football. Collectively, 327 points have been scored against them this season. The Wolfpack defense boasts 6 recovered fumbles and 8 interceptions so far. With a total of 758 plays run against them, they rank 99th in Division 1 for defensive time on the field. NC State currently permits an average of 29.7 points per game, positioning them 105th in college football.
Who will emerge victorious in the Tar Heels versus Wolfpack college football clash against the spread?
Suggested Bet: Select the Tar Heels +7.5
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