- Matchup: North Texas Mean Green vs San Diego State Aztecs
- Date: Saturday, December 27, 2025
- Venue: University Stadium, Albuquerque, NM
- Broadcast: ESPN
- Betting Odds: Aztecs (+3.0)
- Total Points Over-Under: 54
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The North Texas Mean Green (11-2) are set to visit University Stadium on Saturday, December 27, 2025, to face off against the San Diego State Aztecs (9-3) in the Isleta New Mexico Bowl. North Texas is currently favored by 3.0 points, with an over/under total of 54 points.
This season, the North Texas Mean Green boasts an impressive record of 11-2. In their most recent game, they faced the Tulane Green Wave, suffering a defeat with a final score of 34-21. On the defensive end, the Mean Green allowed 199 rushing yards on 52 attempts, averaging 3.8 yards per carry. Through the air, they conceded 13 completions on 22 attempts for 145 yards, achieving a completion percentage of 59.1%. Overall, North Texas executed 68 plays, accumulating 415 total yards. The Mean Green’s rushing attacks yielded 121 yards on 34 carries, averaging 3.6 yards per rush.
This season, the Mean Green have accumulated a total of 6,556 yards. In terms of scoring, they have achieved 33 touchdowns through the air and 46 on the ground, while turning the ball over 17 times. Offensively, they have recorded 334 first downs and have been penalized 68 times for a total of 547 yards. On average, North Texas gains 181.1 rushing yards per game, ranking 41st in NCAA football. Scoring-wise, the Mean Green averages 44.8 points per game.
Defensively, North Texas has allowed 2,122 passing yards, ranking them 13th in Division 1. They concede an average of 163.2 yards through the air with a completion rate of 56.8%. They rank 64th nationally, allowing 370.4 total yards per game. The Mean Green’s defense has surrendered 16 aerial touchdowns and 23 rushing touchdowns this season, allowing an average of 4.8 yards per carry and 207.2 rushing yards per game. In total, they have given up 2,694 rushing yards over 13 contests and rank 70th nationally for defensive performance, allowing 24.9 points per game.
The San Diego State Aztecs bring a record of 9-3 into this matchup. In their last outing, they were defeated by the New Mexico Lobos, ending with a score of 23-17. The Aztecs averaged 4.6 yards per carry, totalling 193 yards on 42 rushing attempts. They gained a combined 355 yards over 66 plays (5.4 yards per play). Defensively, San Diego State allowed a completion rate of 56.0%, yielding 127 yards through the air on 14 completions out of 25 attempts. They faced 35 rushing attempts, giving up 181 yards at an average of 5.2 yards per carry.
In terms of scoring, the Aztecs rank 90th in Division 1, averaging 24.7 points per game. Offensively, they average 341.8 yards per contest, placing them 104th nationally. The San Diego State offense has accumulated 650 penalty yards over 72 infractions, ranking them 75th for penalties. They have thrown 8 interceptions and lost 4 fumbles while achieving 209 first downs. Throughout the season, the Aztecs have registered a total of 1,844 passing yards, translating to an average of 153.7 yards per game, which ranks 125th in college football. They average 188.1 rushing yards per game, with a season total of 2,257 rushing yards.
Defensively, San Diego State has allowed 1,316 rushing yards, averaging 109.7 yards per game, while surrendering 5 rushing touchdowns. They have also yielded 11 passing touchdowns, averaging 157.0 yards per game through the air, which ranks them 4th nationally. Overall this season, they have given up 151 points. Defensively, the Aztecs have recovered 4 fumbles and recorded 13 interceptions, having been on the field for 778 plays, ranking 32nd in Division 1. San Diego State allows an impressive average of just 12.6 points per game, placing them 5th in college football for defensive scoring.
Who will secure a victory in this day’s matchup between the Mean Green and the Aztecs against the point spread?
Pick: Opt for the Mean Green -3.0
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