Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Prediction and Preview for 10/23/2025

• Matchup: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers
• Date: Thursday, October 23, 2025
• Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
• Broadcast: ESPN
• Betting Odds: Oklahoma City favored by 8.5 points

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This Thursday, the Indiana Pacers (50-32 last season) face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14 last year) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Oklahoma City starts as 8.5-point favorites, per Vegas odds, with the total score projected at 228.5.

In their previous outing, the Thunder narrowly defeated the Rockets with a score of 125-124. Oklahoma City achieved a shooting percentage of 44.2% (46 of 104) from the field and hit 13 out of 52 attempts beyond the arc. At the charity stripe, they converted 20 of 25, translating to an 80.0% success rate. The Thunder secured 38 rebounds, with 11 on the offensive end, and distributed 29 assists. On defense, they forced 25 turnovers, recording 12 steals. Houston shot 44.3% from the field, completing 43 of 97 attempts, and recorded 88.7% from the foul line by sinking 27 of 31 shots. They also grabbed 52 rebounds, including 16 offensive rebounds, and registered 4 blocks. The final fouls were 27 for the Thunder and 26 for the Rockets.

Alex Caruso made an impact in the previous game, shooting 33.3% from the field with 3 assists in 30 minutes of play, accumulating 8 points on 3 of 9 shooting.

The Thunder enter this game following a successful season with a 68-14 record. They averaged 11.7 turnovers and 19.9 personal fouls per game last year. Oklahoma City pulled down an average of 44.8 rebounds and delivered a total of 2,202 assists, ranking 12th for passing in the league. They connected on 37.4% of their three-point attempts (1,192 of 3,184) and shot 81.9% from the free-throw line. With 120.5 points per game, they were fourth in the NBA and shot 48.2% overall.

Defensively, the Thunder forced 17.0 turnovers per game while committing 18.1 personal fouls. They ranked 4th in the NBA for assists surrendered, allowing 2,018 last season. Opponents shot 43.6% against them (3,109 of 7,130), and they allowed 44.9 rebounds per game. From three, they held opponents to 34.2%, ranking third in points allowed at 107.6 per game.

In their last game, the Pacers fell to the Thunder 103-91. On rebounding duties, Indiana conceded 40 boards to Oklahoma City, with 13 being offensive. They shot 27.5% from beyond the arc, making 11 of 40 attempts, and recorded 22 of 31 at the free-throw line (71.0%). The Thunder managed to shoot 40.2% from the field, scoring 35 of 87 attempts, while the Pacers shot 41.4% (29 of 70). From three, Indiana hit 11 of 28 (39.3%) and made 22 of their free-throw attempts (75.9%). The Thunder recorded 23 personal fouls, granting the Pacers 29 free-throw attempts while also turning the ball over 23 times and stealing it 6 times. Indiana secured 33 defensive boards and 12 offensive boards, totaling 45 for the game.

Bennedict Mathurin was a standout for the Pacers, contributing 24 points along with 13 rebounds in 33 minutes while shooting 42.9% (6 of 14) from the field and dishing out 3 assists.

Last season, the Pacers finished with a record of 50-32. They averaged 18.7 fouls per game and converted 78.9% of their free-throw attempts. Indiana ranked third in assists with an average of 29.2 per game while turning the ball over 13.2 times on average. They scored a total of 9,624 points (117.4 per game) and averaged 41.8 rebounds. The Pacers shot 48.8% from the field, ranking them third in the league.

Defensively, Indiana allowed 35.5% shooting from three (1,058 of 2,978) and 77.3% from the foul line. They conceded 26.0 assists and 45.0 rebounds per game, which ranked 12th and 22nd in the league. The Pacers ranked 17th for points surrendered with 115.1 per game and forced 15.0 turnovers, but allowed opponents to shoot 47.4% overall (23rd in the league).

Who will cover the spread in tonight’s NBA battle?

Prediction: Take Oklahoma City (-8.5)