Oklahoma Sooners vs Texas Longhorns Prediction: College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds for 10/11/2025

Home » Oklahoma Sooners vs Texas Longhorns Prediction: College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds for 10/11/2025
  • Matchup: Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas Longhorns
  • Date: Saturday, October 11, 2025
  • Venue: Cotton Bowl, Dallas, TX
  • Broadcast: ABC
  • Betting Line: Longhorns favored by 2.5 points
  • Over-Under: 42.5 points

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This Saturday, October 11, 2025, the Texas Longhorns (3-2) will welcome the undefeated Oklahoma Sooners (5-0) to the iconic Cotton Bowl. The betting odds see Oklahoma as 2.5-point underdogs according to Las Vegas bookmakers, with the total points set at 42.5.

The Sooners enter this showdown boasting a perfect 5-0 record. Last week, Oklahoma demonstrated dominance against the Kent State Golden Flashes, winning decisively 44-0. The Sooners ran 68 plays, accumulating 355 yards of offense. On the ground, they executed 41 rushes, totaling 185 yards, averaging 4.5 yards per carry. Defensively, they limited Kent State to just 17 rushing yards on 33 attempts (0.5 yards per carry) and allowed 10 completions on 19 passes for 118 yards, achieving a completion rate of 52.6%.

college football predictions for Texas Longhorns

This season, the Oklahoma Sooners have amassed a total of 2,076 yards. In terms of touchdowns, they have recorded 9 through the air and 10 on the ground, with 6 turnovers to date. They have achieved 113 first downs this season but have also committed 29 penalties for a total of 279 yards. On average, they rush for 137.2 yards per game, which ranks them 97th nationally. Points-wise, Oklahoma averages 33.8 points per game.

Defensively, the Sooners rank 2nd in the nation, allowing just 7.2 points per game. They give up an average of 2.4 yards per rush, conceding 74.6 rushing yards per game, totaling 373 yards over five matchups. In the air, they’ve allowed 592 yards, ranking 2nd nationally, at 118.4 yards per game and a completion percentage of 52.0%. Overall, their defense restricts opponents to just 193.0 yards per game, leading to a top ranking in Division I. They’ve allowed 1 passing touchdown and 2 rushing touchdowns this season.

The Texas Longhorns come into this confrontation with a record of 3-2. Their previous game ended in disappointment, losing 29-21 to the Florida Gators. In that match, Texas allowed 37 rush attempts for 159 yards (4.3 yards per carry). The Longhorns’ pass defense struggled, permitting a 75.0% completion rate, yielding 298 yards from 21 completions out of 28 attempts. Overall, the Longhorns amassed 341 yards of offense and ran 58 plays for an average of 5.9 yards per play, but managed only 52 rushing yards on 26 carries at an average of 2.0 yards per rush.

Offensively, the Longhorns rank 65th nationally with an average of 29.6 points per game. They compile an average of 419.2 yards per game, putting them in 52nd place nationally. The Texas offense has also incurred 383 penalty yards on 44 infractions, ranking 7th in helping the competition. They’ve thrown 5 interceptions and lost 1 fumble, successfully achieving 99 first downs. This season, Texas has produced 1,233 passing yards, with an average of 246.6 passing yards per game, placing them 58th in the nation. Their ground game averages 172.6 rushing yards per game, totaling 863 yards overall.

Defensively, Texas has surrendered 398 rushing yards (79.6 yards per game) and 4 rushing touchdowns this year. They have allowed 3 passing touchdowns and an average of 180.6 passing yards per game, ranking 33rd in Division I. Thus far, they’ve given up 60 points and have recorded 4 fumble recoveries along with 5 interceptions. The Longhorns’ defense has been active on 301 plays, which puts them 18th in college football. They allow an impressive 12.0 points per game, ranking 5th overall.

Who will prevail in the epic battle between the Sooners and Longhorns?

Prediction: Take the Longhorns -2.5

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Pick: Texas Longhorns -2.5
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