- Game: Ole Miss Rebels vs Georgia Bulldogs
- Date: Thursday, January 1, 2026
- Location: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA
- Broadcast: ESPN
- Betting Odds: Bulldogs favored by 6.5 points
- Total Points Over/Under: 56
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The Georgia Bulldogs (12-1) host the Ole Miss Rebels (12-1) in the CFP Quarterfinal at the Allstate Sugar Bowl, scheduled for Thursday, January 1, 2026, at Caesars Superdome. As per Las Vegas oddsmakers, Ole Miss enters the game as 6.5-point underdogs, with the total set at 56 points.
The Ole Miss Rebels, sporting a 12-1 record this season, are coming off a convincing 41-10 victory against the Tulane Green Wave. In that matchup, the Rebels executed 68 plays, racking up 497 total yards. Their ground game was particularly effective, amassing 151 yards on 34 carries, averaging 4.4 yards per carry. Defensively, Ole Miss allowed 115 rushing yards on 34 carries, giving up an average of 3.4 yards per attempt. They also surrendered 306 passing yards on 37 attempts, leading to a completion percentage of 54.1%.
On the offensive side, the Ole Miss Rebels average 37.5 points per game, ranking 7th nationally. Their running game stands out, with an average of 185.6 rushing yards per game, placing them 33rd in the nation. Over the season, the Rebels have accumulated 6,474 total offensive yards. They have thrown 23 passing touchdowns and executed 36 rushing touchdowns. Ole Miss has secured 337 first downs and incurred 75 penalties worth 705 yards, along with 13 turnovers.
Defensively, the Rebels have allowed 2,497 passing yards this season, ranking 41st in college football. Opponents have averaged 192.1 passing yards per game against them, with a completion rate of 56.4%. Overall, Ole Miss has conceded 339.8 yards per game, positioning them 40th nationally. The defense has given up 14 passing touchdowns and 16 rushing touchdowns, allowing 4.3 rushing yards per attempt and 147.8 rushing yards per game. For the season, they have yielded 1,921 rushing yards across 13 games, ranking 22nd in Division 1 with 19.3 points allowed per game.
The Georgia Bulldogs also come into this game with a 12-1 record. In their last outing, they triumphed over the Alabama Crimson Tide, winning 28-7. Georgia averaged 3.4 yards per carry, rushing for 141 yards on 41 attempts. They concluded the game with 297 total yards, completing 67 plays at 4.4 yards per play. Defensively, Georgia allowed a 48.7% completion rate, giving up 212 passing yards on 19 of 39 attempts, while their run defense allowed only -3 yards on 16 carries.
In terms of scoring, the Bulldogs are ranked 34th in the country, averaging 31.9 points per game. With a total offensive output of 406.9 yards per game, they sit at 45th nationally. However, their penalty count of 571 yards on 60 infractions places them 114th in the NCAA. The Bulldogs have thrown 7 interceptions and lost 5 fumbles, garnering 316 first downs. On the season, Georgia has amassed 2,864 passing yards, averaging 220.3 yards through the air, ranking 76th in college football, and they have totaled 2,426 rushing yards, averaging 186.6 yards per game.
Defensively, Georgia has allowed 15.9 points per game this season, ranking them 9th in Division 1. They have permitted a total of 1,030 rushing yards (79.2 yards per game) and 12 rushing touchdowns. Through the air, they have conceded 12 passing touchdowns, yielding 205.3 yards per game, placing them 48th in the NCAA. Georgia’s defense has participated in 774 plays this season, ranking 29th nationally. They have recorded 3 fumbles and 9 interceptions, with a total of 207 points allowed this season.
Who will prevail in this highly-anticipated Rebels vs Bulldogs college football game against the spread?
Prediction: Choose the Rebels +6.5
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