- Matchup: Oregon Ducks vs Indiana Hoosiers
- Scheduled Date: Friday, January 9, 2026
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
- Broadcast: ESPN
- Spread: Hoosiers favored by (-4.0)
- Total Points Line: 46.5
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The Oregon Ducks, boasting a record of 13-1, are heading to Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Friday, January 9, 2026, to challenge the undefeated Indiana Hoosiers (14-0) in the CFP Semifinal at the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl. Oregon starts out as 4.0-point underdogs, with the over/under set at 46.5.
Oregon enters this match after a decisive 23-0 victory against the Texas Tech Red Raiders. In that game, the Ducks executed 47 rushing attempts totaling 64 yards, averaging 1.4 yards per carry. Overall, they ran 81 plays resulting in 309 yards. On defense, Oregon allowed 18 completions on 32 attempts, giving up 137 passing yards with a completion rate of 56.3%. Against the run, they conceded 78 yards across 30 attempts, averaging 2.6 yards allowed per rush.

Offensively, the Ducks average an impressive 38.0 points per game and are ranked 15th nationally with 206.1 rushing yards per game. This season, Oregon has amassed 6,405 total yards. In terms of touchdowns, they have achieved 29 through the air and 34 on the ground, accumulating 312 first downs while facing 71 penalties totaling 703 yards. They have also turned the ball over 13 times.
Defensively, Oregon ranks 6th nationally in opponent scoring, allowing just 15.1 points per game. The Ducks yield an average of 3.3 yards per rush and 110.8 rushing yards per game, totaling 1,551 rushing yards allowed over the season. They rank 9th in passing yards allowed, giving up a total of 2,192 yards or 156.6 yards per game, with a completion percentage of 51.6%. Overall, they allow 267.4 yards per matchup, positioning them 6th in the nation, having surrendered 14 passing touchdowns and 11 via the run.
The Indiana Hoosiers boast a perfect 14-0 record this season. Their last outing resulted in a dominant 38-3 win over the Alabama Crimson Tide. Indiana’s rushing game averaged 4.3 yards per carry, totaling 215 yards on 50 carries. Overall, the Hoosiers racked up 407 yards on 66 plays, averaging 6.2 yards per play. On defense, they allowed a 72.7% completion rate, giving up 170 yards on 24 completions out of 33 attempts, while restricting their opponents to just 23 rushing yards on 17 attempts (1.4 yards per carry).
In terms of scoring, the Hoosiers rank 3rd in D-1, averaging 41.6 points per game. Their offense generates an average of 468.1 yards per game, placing them 7th in D-1. Indiana has committed 50 penalties totaling 379 yards, ranking 129th for giveaways. They have thrown 7 interceptions and lost a fumble, while securing 342 first downs. With 3,464 passing yards this season, the Hoosiers average 247.4 passing yards per game (47th in D-1) and a robust 220.7 rushing yards per game, totaling 3,090 rushing yards.
Defensively, Indiana has allowed 1,032 rushing yards (73.7 yards per game) along with 6 rushing touchdowns this year. In the passing game, they have surrendered 7 touchdowns and 178.9 yards per game, which ranks them 18th in D-1. Overall, they have conceded 144 points. The Hoosiers defense has recovered 8 fumbles and intercepted 17 passes, facing 781 plays this season—ranking 14th in the country. They allow just 10.3 points per game, placing them 2nd in Division 1.
Who will take the victory between the Ducks and Hoosiers in this highly-anticipated college football clash?
Pick: Back the Hoosiers -4.0
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