- Matchup: Oregon Ducks vs Texas Tech Red Raiders
- Scheduled Date: January 1, 2026 (Thursday)
- Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
- Broadcasting on: ESPN
- Betting Odds: Red Raiders (+1.0)
- Total Points Over-Under: 53
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The Texas Tech Red Raiders (12-1) are set to face off against the Oregon Ducks (12-1) at Hard Rock Stadium on January 1, 2026, in the College Football Playoff Quarterfinal for the Capital One Orange Bowl. According to Vegas oddsmakers, Oregon enters this matchup as 1.0-point favorites. The total points for the game are set at 53.
The Oregon Ducks have clinched a solid 12-1 record this season. In their last outing, they secured a victory against the James Madison Dukes with a score of 51-34. During that game, they executed 53 plays, gaining a remarkable 514 yards. The Ducks rushed 26 times, accumulating 201 yards for an impressive average of 7.7 yards per carry. Opponents faced a running game that allowed 186 yards on 35 attempts, averaging 5.3 yards per rush. Oregon’s secondary permitted 24 completions on 49 attempts, yielding 323 yards and a completion rate of 49.0%.
Throughout the season, the Ducks have amassed a total of 6,096 yards. They recorded 29 passing touchdowns and 33 rushing touchdowns while turning the ball over 10 times. The team achieved 296 first downs and faced 68 penalties totaling 679 yards. On average, Oregon has been racking up 217.1 rushing yards per game, positioning them 13th in the country. Regarding scoring, they average 39.2 points per game.
Defensively, the Ducks have yielded 2,055 passing yards, ranking them 8th nationally. They allow 158.1 yards per game through the air and have a completion percentage against of 51.4%. The overall defensive numbers show they allow 271.4 yards per game, ranking 8th in Division 1. So far this season, opponents have scored 14 touchdowns in the air and 10 on the ground. The rival teams are averaging 3.4 rushing yards per attempt and 113.3 yards per game against them, culminating in 1,473 rushing yards allowed throughout the season. Oregon is currently 10th in the nation for points allowed, giving up just 16.3 points per game.
The Red Raiders also bring a strong 12-1 record into this contest. Their most recent performance ended in a convincing 34-7 win against the BYU Cougars. Texas Tech achieved 3.9 yards per carry with a total of 159 rushing yards on 41 attempts. For the game, they managed 374 total yards with 74 plays, averaging 5.1 yards per play. The Red Raiders’ secondary held opponents to a completion rate of 58.6%, giving up 137 yards on 17 completions from 29 attempts. Defensively, Texas Tech allowed 30 rush attempts for only 63 yards (2.1 yards per rush).
The Texas Tech Red Raiders impressively average 480.3 yards per game, making them 5th in the nation. Their offense has accumulated 744 penalty yards through 88 infractions, ranking 24th in Division 1 for penalties. They average 190.9 rushing yards per game, totaling 2,482 yards this season. The Red Raiders have thrown 8 interceptions, suffered 7 fumbles, and managed to secure 308 first downs. They stand 2nd in Division 1 for scoring, averaging 42.5 points per game. Throughout the season, they have accumulated 3,762 passing yards, with an average of 289.4 passing yards per game, ranking them 11th countrywide.
Defensively, the Red Raiders allow just 10.9 points per game, positioning them at 3rd nationally. They have given up a total of 891 rushing yards (68.5 yards per game) and 7 rushing touchdowns throughout the season. In the air, they have surrendered 10 touchdowns and 185.9 yards per contest, ranking 24th in college football. Their defense has participated in 836 plays, ranking 90th in the nation. This season, they have tallied 16 fumble recoveries and 16 interceptions, giving up just 142 points so far.
Which team will cover the spread in tonight’s Ducks vs. Red Raiders collegiate showdown?
Prediction: Take the Ducks -1.0
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