- Matchup: Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning
- Date: Thursday, October 9, 2025
- Venue: Amalie Arena, Tampa, FL
- Broadcast: WXPX-TV
- Betting Lines: Senators (+125) Lightning (-150)
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This matchup at Amalie Arena features the Tampa Bay Lightning (47-27-8 last season) competing against the Ottawa Senators (45-30-7 from the previous year) on Thursday. The moneyline is set at +125 for Ottawa and -150 for Tampa Bay, while the over/under stands at 6.
The Ottawa Senators will be looking to rebound after a 4-2 loss to the Maple Leafs in their last outing. Their offense fell short of expectations, managing to score only 2 goals on 23 shots, with 2 power play chances that yielded no results. The Senators spent just 2 minutes in the penalty box during that game.
When it comes to even-strength play, the Senators allowed 181 goals while netting 178 themselves. Their opponents had 229 power play opportunities (14th in the league), converting 51 into goals. Over the past season, Ottawa scored 242 goals (ranked 18th in the NHL) and conceded 232. They attempted 2,403 shots, achieving a shooting percentage of 10.1%. The Senators wrapped up the season with a total of 97 points, boasting a points percentage of .591. They faced 2,346 shots against them, with a save percentage of .901. The Senators capitalized on 269 power play opportunities, scoring 64 goals, which gives them a conversion rate of 23.79%.
In goal for this matchup will be Linus Ullmark. Throughout his career, Ullmark has recorded 179 quality starts, maintaining a quality start percentage of .637. His current save percentage is .917 through 14,391 minutes of play. He has faced 8,560 shots, making 7,850 saves. Ullmark has conceded 710 goals during his career, resulting in an average of 2.96 goals against per game. His overall record stands at 163 wins, 87 losses, and 26 overtime decisions, with 281 games started in the NHL.
In their most recent game, Tampa Bay faced off against the Panthers, suffering a 6-3 defeat. They had 3 power play opportunities but managed to convert only once, scoring 3 goals from 29 shots on goal.
The Lightning have taken 2,341 shots (12th in the league) and hold a shooting percentage of 12.47%. They’ve allowed 2,311 shots against, maintaining a penalty kill rate of 81.55% on 206 power play attempts from their opponents, coupled with a save percentage of 90.7%. Tampa Bay converted on 25.86% of their 232 power play opportunities, scoring 60 goals (5th in the NHL) on the power play and adding another 232 goals at even strength. Last season, the Lightning scored a total of 292 goals, earning 102 points with a points percentage of .622.
Starting in goal for the Lightning will be Andrei Vasilevskiy. He has a career record of 331 wins, 163 losses, and 35 ties, playing in 540 games. Vasilevskiy’s quality start percentage is 57.7%, with 306 quality starts throughout his career. He has made 14,772 saves out of 16,107 shots faced, achieving a .917 save percentage. Vasilevskiy has allowed an average of 2.84 goals per game, conceding a total of 1,335 goals across his career, having started in 530 games and logged 28,204 minutes on the ice.
Who will emerge victorious in this blockbuster NHL clash?
Parlays Prediction: Back Tampa Bay (-150) and the under on 6 goals
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