Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction for 3/28/2026 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Home » Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction for 3/28/2026 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: Ottawa Senators vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
  • Date: Saturday, March 28, 2026
  • Venue: Amalie Arena, Tampa, FL
  • Broadcast: WXPX-TV

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The Tampa Bay Lightning (44-21-6) are set to host the Ottawa Senators (38-24-10) at Amalie Arena this Saturday.

NHL Predictions for Ottawa Senators Featuring Claude Giroux

The Ottawa Senators recently displayed a commendable effort, ending their last game against the Penguins in a 3-3 stalemate. Overall, the Senators had an average performance, converting 3 goals from 29 shots on goal. They secured 1 goal out of 2 power play opportunities and accrued 4 penalty minutes during this match.

In terms of scoring prowess, the Ottawa Senators have netted 239 goals this season (ranking 9th in the NHL) while allowing 219 against them. They hold 86 points in total, resulting in a points percentage of .597. The Senators have had 234 power play chances, scoring on 54 occasions, which translates to a conversion rate of 23.08%. While playing at even strength, they have conceded 166 goals while scoring 185. With a cumulative total of 2,084 shots taken, Ottawa boasts a shooting percentage of 11.5%. Their opponents have launched 1,743 shots, resulting in an .874 save percentage against them. Opponents have capitalized on 210 power play opportunities (16th in the league), scoring 53 goals.

In goal for the game will be Linus Ullmark. Throughout his career, Ullmark has participated in 333 games, achieving an overall record of 186-97-34, with 323 starts. Opponents have scored 825 goals against him, leading to a goals-against average of 2.55. He has faced 9,591 shots, recording 8,766 saves and maintaining a save percentage of .914 over 15,528 minutes played. Ullmark has secured 203 quality starts in his career, with a quality start percentage of .628.

In their latest matchup, the Lightning faced off against the Kraken but fell short, losing 4-3. Tampa Bay managed to score 3 goals from 33 shots on goal, successfully converting 1 out of their sole power play opportunity.

The Lightning have registered 206 goals at even strength and 50 goals while on power plays (ranking 8th in the league). They have taken a total of 2,007 shots (18th overall) and possess a shooting percentage of 12.76%. Defensively, they have allowed 1,904 shots against them. This season, the Lightning have totaled 256 goals, earned 94 points, and maintain a points percentage of .662. They have given up 197 goals, consisting of 157 at even strength and 40 while short-handed. With 214 power play opportunities, their power play success rate stands at 23.36%. On the penalty kill, they boast an 81.82% success rate against 220 opposing power plays, with a team save percentage of 89.7%.

On the opposite end of the rink, Andrei Vasilevskiy will be in net. Vasilevskiy holds a career record of 365-175-39, participating in 590 games. His quality start percentage is 58.8%, with 341 quality starts to his credit. He has made 15,942 saves out of 17,392 shots faced, achieving a save percentage of .917. Opponents average 2.50 goals per game against him, with a total of 1,450 goals conceded. Vasilevskiy has started in 580 matches, accumulating 28,743 minutes played.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s NHL clash against the spread or on the moneyline?

Recommendation: Back Ottawa

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Pick: Ottawa Senators
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