Patrick Mahomes Top Prop Bets for Today Against the Jacksonville Jaguars 10/6/2025

• Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
• Passing Yards Over/Under: 253 – Over (-120) Under (-110)
• Completions Over/Under: 23 – Over (-125) Under (-105)
• Pass Attempts Over/Under: 34 – Over (+105) Under (-135)

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On Monday, October 6, 2025, the Kansas City Chiefs, led by Patrick Mahomes, will take the spotlight on ABC as they face off against the Jacksonville Jaguars. The player prop bets for Mahomes are set at 23 completions, 34 passing attempts, and 253 passing yards.

Patrick Mahomes Season Overview

This season, Patrick Mahomes has made 142 passing attempts, achieving a completion rate of 61.3%. He averages 21.8 completions per game and has recorded 7 touchdown passes this year. On the ground, Mahomes has exhibited moderate mobility, averaging 5.5 rushing attempts and 1.8 rushing TDs per game. In total, he has accrued 939 passing yards, along with 130 yards from rushing. Averaging 234.8 passing yards per match, Mahomes ranks 23rd in the league with a 4.9% touchdown rate. Additionally, he stands 7th in the NFL, with an average of 35.5 pass attempts each game.

Recent Performance: Mahomes’ Last 5 Games

In his last 5 games, Mahomes has averaged 21.6 completions per game, with 174 total passing attempts. He has achieved 71 first downs through the air. On average, he throws for 239.2 yards each game, with 10 touchdowns and 0.6 interceptions per game. During this stretch, he has an interception rate of 1.7% while producing an average of 14.3 first downs per contest.

Performance Overview: Mahomes in Last 10 Games

Over his last 10 games, Mahomes has maintained a solid completion rate of 63.7%. He averages 1.8 touchdown passes and 235.7 passing yards per game. His average of 21.8 completions reflects consistent performance. In total, he has logged 18 touchdown passes and 140 first downs through the air, with 218 completions. He’s been very efficient, throwing an interception on just 0.9% of his attempts, while maintaining a sack percentage of 5.6%.

Patrick Mahomes Career Statistics

Throughout his career, Mahomes has thrown 4,313 attempts with 75 interceptions. His completion rate stands at 66.4%, and he has a 5.8% touchdown rate. Mahomes averages 287.0 passing yards per game and has a 1.7% interception rate. He has also achieved 16 rushing touchdowns, adding to his versatility as a quarterback.

Kansas City Chiefs Offense Analysis

The Chiefs rank around the middle of the league in converting passes to touchdowns, sitting at 16th with a 4.9% touchdown conversion rate. Playing at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, they average 35.5 passing attempts per game (8th in the NFL) and accumulate a total of 332.3 team yards per game. The team has a respectable average of 221.8 passing yards per game (12th in the league). Overall, the Chiefs are performing moderately with 1,329 total team yards, averaging 110.5 rushing yards per game and completing 61.3% of their passing attempts. However, their interception percentage stands at just 0.7%, ranking them 31st in the league.

Jacksonville Jaguars Defense Overview

The Jacksonville Jaguars, who play at EverBank Stadium, rank 2nd in the NFL for interception percentage allowed, at 5.8%. They concede an average of 1.8 passing touchdowns per game. On the ground, the Jaguars give up 82.8 rushing yards per game, along with 7 passing touchdowns overall. Defensively, they allow 0.3 rushing touchdowns per game and handle 21.3 rushing attempts. Through the air, they surrender an average of 233.5 yards per game and 331 rushing yards total. The Jaguars’ completion percentage allowed stands at 59.6%, placing them 27th in the league.

Recommendation: Bet on Over Pass Attempts (+105)