This Monday night, the reigning Super Bowl Champion Philadelphia Eagles will make their way cross-country to face off against the Chargers in Los Angeles. While Philly is somewhat concerned about the Dallas Cowboys vying for the top spot in the NFC East, this matchup holds even greater significance for the Chargers.
The likelihood of LA securing a postseason berth currently hovers around 47%, which is surprising given their record of 8-4. Their division rivals, the Kansas City Chiefs, have similar postseason odds but find themselves two games back with a 6-6 record.
The criticism directed at head coach Jim Harbaugh and quarterback Justin Herbert is misplaced. When healthy, this team boasts Super Bowl potential, and I stand by that belief.
When the offense gives them a fighting chance, the Chargers’ defense showcases top-tier talent, currently standing among the league’s best. In their last three games, they have allowed a mere 4.4 yards per play. However, their schedule has not been robust enough to accurately measure their standing ahead of facing the Super Bowl Champs.
It’s well-known that LA’s offensive line is in dire straits. The loss of star left tackle Joe Alt to a season-ending injury has exacerbated their struggles. Recent performance against the Jaguars highlighted this flaw, as they managed only 135 yards with just 8 first downs compared to Jacksonville’s 30.
Critics may have reservations about the Philadelphia offense, but their defense has generally been reliable this season. In terms of yards per play, they sit in the middle of the pack, yet excel in red zone situations, consistently ranking in the top 5.
This year’s offensive line for the Eagles has not been able to replicate the same effectiveness as last season. A glance at Saquon Barkley’s stats illustrates this point clearly; despite being healthy all year, he averages over 2 yards per carry less than he did last season!
With neither offensive line at full strength, I’m leaning towards betting the under in this contest. However, let’s first analyze the point spread for better insight.
Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5) at Los Angeles Chargers (+2.5)
The initial line was set at (-2) for Philly, which has now shifted to (-2.5) due to the Chargers’ struggles in blocking. Moreover, this situation represents one of the weakest home-field advantages in the league.
Though it’s been frustrating to watch them lately, particularly after their dominant run last season culminating in a Super Bowl victory, I can still envision the Eagles securing a win here.
Just less than two weeks ago, the Jaguars exploited weaknesses within this team easily.
Point Total: 41.5
Some sportsbooks still have the line at 41, so if you’re considering a bet on the under, it’s wise to do so now. A factor potentially impacting the under is the minor shoulder surgery undergone by Eagles’ standout defensive lineman Jalen Carter, likely sidelining him for this game.
On the flip side, both Herbert and running back Omarion Hampton were limited in Thursday’s practice, helping the under case.
While I favor the under here, Carter’s absence is substantial. The defensive line has typically been a strength for Philly, but 2025 has seen fluctuating performances, with Carter leading while others lag behind.
- Moneyline Odds
- Eagles: -145
- Chargers: +120
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Los Angeles Chargers Betting Analysis
Here are some intriguing stats: The Chargers rank as the least effective run-blocking team, yet their rushing grade remains competitive among the best in the NFL. A significant part of this stems from Herbert’s ability to scramble; his current wrist injury should not hinder this skill.
They are incorporating extra tight ends to enhance protection and push the ball forward. This strategy directly plays into the strengths of the Eagles’ defense, particularly their linebackers and secondary units.
Speaking of formidable secondaries, both teams boast solid defensive squads. Notably, LA’s General Derwin James excels at both center field and nickel corner positions, capable of locking down or physically challenging receivers. His exceptional skills are matched by the relative health of their defense, showing no significant injuries. This starkly contrasts with their offensively challenging injury report.
Count me in for the under at 41.5 while it remains available. Should it drop to 41 or below, I would consider betting on the Eagles, but only at (-2.5) as they currently appear to be the healthier and better team overall.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Los Angeles Chargers Betting Pick
Pick: Under 41.5 Points
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