Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago White Sox
Date: Monday, July 28, 2025
Venue: Rate Field, Chicago, IL
Broadcast: Chicago Sports Network
Bets/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-182) Chicago (+150)
The Chicago White Sox (37-66) are set to face the Philadelphia Phillies (58-44) at Rate Field this Monday. Philadelphia enters with a moneyline of -182, while Chicago opens at +150. The total for the game is set at 8.5. The anticipated starting pitchers are Cristopher Sanchez and Davis Martin.
As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are mashing 4.6 runs per game, ranking them 10th in the league. With a total of 469 runs recorded, their on-base percentage sits at .327. The Phillies have also tallied 161 doubles and 115 home runs so far. They’ve accumulated 446 runs batted in and 880 hits this season, achieving a batting average of .254. Their slugging percentage stands at .408, while they have 809 strikeouts alongside 349 walks.
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The Phillies possess a K/BB ratio of 3.21, while their collective pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.25. Pitchers for Philadelphia have given up 106 home runs and a total of 406 runs (7th in the league). With 843 hits allowed (8.3 per 9 innings), they have 375 earned runs. The team’s earned run average stands at 3.71 this season (8th in MLB), and they have struck out 952 batters, issuing 297 walks with a team FIP of 3.60.
Philadelphia’s bullpen boasts a save percentage of 61.4%, having appeared in 90 save opportunities. Relievers have inherited 96 runners this year, with 33.3% scoring. The Phillies’ bullpen has been involved in 67 situations with runners on base and has had 110 high-leverage appearances. A total of 316 relief pitchers have taken the mound, with the bullpen earning 45 holds in total (25th in the league) and 27 saves, having failed in 17 of 44 save chances.
Defensively, the Philadelphia Phillies have made 2,731 putouts, with 882 assists and 38 errors, holding a fielding percentage of .990—ranking them 3rd among MLB teams. They have turned 71 double plays and converted 68.8% of balls in play into outs in their 8,193 innings, positioning them 24th in the league.
Sanchez, with a career record of 26-18, has a FIP of 3.30 and has faced 1,887 batters in the majors. He’s allowed 427 hits (8.4 per nine innings) and issued 116 walks. His earned run average is 3.35, with 170 earned runs, and a WHIP of 1.188. In total, Sanchez has pitched 457 innings, recording 431 strikeouts in his MLB career.
The Chicago White Sox have hit 85 home runs, notching 365 runs batted in. They have recorded 166 doubles, with 340 walks and a total of 381 runs. The team’s on-base percentage is .298, along with a batting average of .224. Their slugging percentage is .354, averaging 3.70 runs per game (27th in MLB). They have been struck out 881 times (10th in the league), with 756 hits accumulated this year.
Chicago’s pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.378 and a FIP of 4.45. They rank 19th in MLB in terms of total hits allowed (857). The pitching unit has surrendered 453 runs this season, holding a team ERA of 4.08 (406 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 7.50 (751 strikeouts to 378 walks), allowing 109 home runs and permitting 4.55 runs per 9 innings (21st in MLB).
In 72 save opportunities, the White Sox have 43 holds and 16 blown saves. Their relievers have entered 29 save chances, securing 13 saves. Chicago’s relievers have appeared in 91 high-leverage situations and taken the mound 93 times with base runners. They stand 30th in MLB with a save rate of 44.8%, having utilized 324 relievers this season.
Over 8,070 innings, Chicago has a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (16th in the league). The White Sox have executed 88 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .983 (25th in MLB), accumulating 857 assists, 63 errors, and 2,690 putouts this year.
In his career, Martin has given up 196 hits in 198 innings pitched, registering 151 strikeouts. With 95 earned runs allowed, he has a WHIP of 1.316 and a FIP of 4.2. His K/BB ratio is 2.32, as he’s faced 843 batters. Martin, with a 5-19 career record, holds a 4.31 ERA, allowing 8.9 hits per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup, covering the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Recommendation: Take Chicago (+150)
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