Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers Prediction for 9/1/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Home » Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers Prediction for 9/1/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Monday, September 1, 2025

Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI

Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Wisconsin

Betting Odds: Philadelphia (+150) Milwaukee (-182)

The Milwaukee Brewers (83-52) are set to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (77-57) at American Family Field this Monday. Currently, the Phillies hold odds of +150, while the Brewers are listed at -182. The over/under for the total runs is set at 8.5, with Taijuan Walker and Jacob Misiorowski taking the mound as the starting pitchers.

MLB Predictions: Nick Castellanos from Philadelphia Phillies

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This season, the Philadelphia Phillies have been averaging 4.8 runs per game, ranking 9th in Major League Baseball. They have scored a total of 644 runs and maintain a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .328. The team has hit 223 doubles and launched 168 home runs, accumulating 619 RBIs along with 1,180 hits, giving them a batting average of .258. The Phillies have a slugging percentage of .426 and have struck out 1,072 times while drawing 438 walks.

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The Phillies currently hold a team ERA of 3.85 (ranked 11th in MLB) and have struck out 1,230 batters throughout the season. Pitchers from Philadelphia have surrendered 145 homers and 545 total runs (6th in MLB). They have issued 362 walks, maintaining a fielding independent pitching (FIP) stat of 3.67 for the year. The staff has allowed 1,113 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and 509 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio sits at 3.40 with a WHIP of 1.24 this season.

Relievers have taken the mound for the Phillies a total of 415 times this year. They have inherited 131 runners, with 33.6% of those scoring. The bullpen has achieved 36 saves but has blown 20 of 56 save opportunities, holding a 64.3% save rate with 123 appearances in save situations. So far, the relief staff has recorded 65 holds (23rd in MLB). They’ve entered games with players on base 89 times and have appeared in 137 high-leverage situations this season.

The Phillies’ fielding statistics show they’ve converted 68.8% of balls in play into outs out of 10,614 innings, ranking 25th in the league. The team has registered 3,538 putouts, 1,138 assists, and 51 errors, achieving a fielding percentage of .989 (3rd in MLB) with 82 double plays.

Taijuan Walker has logged 1,255 career innings, accumulating 1,075 strikeouts with a 4.15 ERA (579 earned runs allowed) and a career WHIP of 1.279. He has given up 1,182 hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) and issued 424 walks, sporting a career record of 76-70 and a FIP of 4.09 against 5,319 batters faced.

The Brewers have hit 144 home runs this season and collected 640 RBIs. They’ve achieved 218 doubles, with 468 walks and a total of 688 runs scored. This season, the Milwaukee Brewers have an OBP of .332, alongside a batting average of .258. They hold a slugging percentage of .407, scoring 5.10 runs per game (3rd in MLB). Milwaukee has struck out 1,052 times (25th in MLB) with 1,184 total hits.

The Brewers’ pitching staff carries a WHIP of 1.234 and a FIP of 3.97 for the season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is at 8.90 (1,183 strikeouts against 448 walks), ranking 4th in MLB for total hits allowed with 1,036. They’ve surrendered 146 home runs and yield 3.96 runs per 9 innings (4th in MLB). The Brewers have given up 529 runs this season, with a team ERA of 3.63 (485 earned runs conceded).

Milwaukee relievers have entered in 56 save opportunities, securing 38 saves and maintaining a save rate of 67.9%, ranking 6th in the league. They’ve called on 457 bullpen pitchers this season and have faced high-leverage situations 157 times, with runners on base 121 times. Milwaukee’s relief staff has inherited 30.6% of 183 inherited runners. With 155 total save situations, they have recorded 95 holds and 18 blown saves.

In 10,743 innings played, Milwaukee’s defensive efficiency is at 71.2% (4th in professional baseball). The Brewers have turned 93 double plays and currently hold a fielding percentage of .987 (10th in MLB). The team has made 1,063 assists, recorded 61 errors, and achieved 3,581 putouts this season.

Jacob Misiorowski has a career record of 4-2 with a 4.38 ERA, giving up 5.6 hits per nine innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is currently at 3.10, having faced 176 batters in the MLB. He has allowed 21 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.111 and a FIP of 4.3. Throughout his career, Misiorowski has surrendered 27 hits and earned 65 strikeouts over 43 innings pitched.

Who will be the victor in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?

Pick from Guy Bruhn: Take Milwaukee (-182)

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