Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago White Sox
Date: Tuesday, July 29, 2025
Venue: Rate Field, Chicago, IL
Broadcast: Chicago Sports Network
Betting Odds: Philadelphia (-275) Chicago (+220)
The Philadelphia Phillies (60-45) are set to visit Rate Field on Tuesday for a showdown with the Chicago White Sox (38-68). The betting line favors the Phillies at -275, while the White Sox are listed at +220. The total runs expected is set at 8.5. Starting pitchers for the game include Jesus Luzardo and Jonathan Cannon.
The Phillies maintain a slugging percentage of .413 and have struck out 826 times, while drawing 361 walks. They have accumulated 467 RBIs alongside 907 hits this season, boasting a batting average of .256. The team has recorded 168 doubles and sent 120 balls over the fence, while scoring 490 runs and achieving an on-base percentage of .329. Averaging 4.7 runs per game, the Philadelphia Phillies rank 8th league-wide.
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The Phillies’ strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.22, and their pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.26. On the year, Phillies pitchers have given up 111 home runs and 415 total runs (ranked 8th in the league). They’ve allowed 863 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and 384 earned runs, which contributes to a team ERA of 3.72 (8th in MLB), with a total of 971 strikeouts. The staff has issued 302 walks, resulting in a FIP of 3.63.
The Phillies’ bullpen has entered games with runners on base 69 times and has appeared in 110 pressure situations. With 48 holds this season (25th in the league), they have a save percentage of 61.4%, having faced 93 save opportunities and converting 27 saves while failing to convert 17 saves of their 44 chances. Among 99 inherited runners, 32.3% have scored. The Phillies have utilized 324 relief pitchers throughout the season.
This season, Philadelphia has turned 68.9% of balls in play into outs over 8,355 innings on the field, ranking 23rd in MLB. They’ve achieved 2,785 putouts, 894 assists, and committed 37 errors, leading to a stellar fielding percentage of .990 (3rd in the majors), with 71 double plays.
Jesus Luzardo has thrown 626 innings and recorded 695 strikeouts in his professional career, maintaining an earned run average of 4.34 (302 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.284. He has surrendered 581 hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and 223 walks, sporting a career win-loss record of 34-39 with a FIP of 4.28 against 2,637 batters.
The White Sox have hit 90 home runs and recorded 378 RBIs this year. They’ve compiled 169 doubles, with 342 walks and a total of 394 runs scored. Chicago is operating with an on-base percentage of .299, coupled with a team batting average of .226. Their slugging percentage stands at .359, averaging 3.75 runs per game (27th in the league) along with 892 strikeouts (12th in the league) and 780 hits.
Chicago’s pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.379 and a FIP of 4.46. They rank 19th in the league for total hits allowed, having given up 876 hits and 464 runs this season, with a team ERA of 4.11 (417 earned runs). They boast a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 7.50 (766 strikeouts versus 385 walks) and have conceded 112 home runs while allowing an average of 4.57 runs per 9 innings (22nd in the league).
The Chicago relief corps has an inherited scoring rate of 29.1% regarding 141 inherited runners. They’ve entered games 92 times in critical situations and 96 times with runners on base. So far this season, they’ve faced 72 save situations, racking up 43 holds while experiencing 16 blown saves. Ranking 30th in baseball, their save rate is at 44.8%, utilizing 331 relief pitchers to this point. The White Sox have converted 13 saves out of 29 save opportunities.
Chicago’s defensive metrics include 90 double plays and a fielding percentage of .983 (25th in baseball). They have recorded 869 assists, made 63 errors, and accumulated 2,744 putouts during the season. After playing 8,232 innings, the White Sox possess a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (16th in professional baseball).
Jonathan Cannon, with a record of 9-17, carries an earned run average of 4.50 and has given up 9.3 hits per nine innings. He maintains a K/BB ratio of 2.33 and has faced 912 hitters throughout his career. Cannon has allowed 106 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.362 and a FIP of 4.4. As of now, he has conceded 219 hits and registered 163 strikeouts over 212 innings.
Which team will prevail in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Pick from Guy Bruhn: Take Chicago (+220)
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