Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds
Date: Wednesday, August 13, 2025
Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Ohio
Betting Odds: Philadelphia (-210), Cincinnati (+172)
On Wednesday, the Cincinnati Reds (62-57) will host the Philadelphia Phillies (68-49) at the Great American Ball Park. The betting moneyline has Philadelphia favored at -210, while Cincinnati is at +172. The combined score is anticipated to hit 9 runs. The starting pitchers projected for this matchup are Cristopher Sanchez for the Phillies and Hunter Greene for the Reds.
The Philadelphia Phillies are currently averaging 4.7 runs per game, ranking them 9th in Major League Baseball. Thus far in the season, they have accumulated 551 runs, boasting an on-base percentage of .327. The team has hit 192 doubles and launched 141 home runs, with 528 RBIs and 1,013 total hits, resulting in a batting average of .255. Their slugging percentage sits at .418, as they have struck out 946 times and drawn 395 walks.
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This season, the Phillies have a team ERA of 3.70, ranking 8th overall, with 1,070 strikeouts logged by their pitchers. They have surrendered 129 home runs and 461 runs this year (6th in the league). Their pitching staff has officially walked 318 batters, and their FIP stands at 3.69 for the current season. Philadelphia has allowed 967 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and 429 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.36, and they maintain a WHIP of 1.23.
The Phillies’ pitchers have entered games with runners on base 74 times and appeared in 120 high-leverage situations. Their bullpen has recorded 55 holds this season (24th in MLB), with a save rate of 64.6% across 104 save opportunities. They have notched 31 saves and blown 17 saves out of 48 chances. Relievers have inherited 106 base runners, with 32.1% of those scoring. Philadelphia has utilized 359 relief pitchers this season.
Defensively, the Phillies have converted 69.2% of balls in play into outs during 9,381 innings, placing them 22nd across the league. They have registered 3,127 putouts, 1,009 assists, and 43 errors, achieving a fielding percentage of .990 (3rd in the majors), and made 76 double plays.
Sanchez has taken the mound for 477 innings, accumulating 448 strikeouts over his career. With a career ERA of 3.30 (allowing 175 earned runs), his WHIP stands at 1.181, permitting 445 hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) alongside 119 walks. Sanchez holds a career win-loss record of 28-19, along with a FIP of 3.25, having faced 1,970 opposing batters in the majors.
Turning to the Cincinnati Reds, they boast a team slugging percentage of .391, averaging 4.53 runs per game (11th in MLB). The Reds have hit 191 doubles and drawn 392 walks, scoring 539 runs. They have recorded 120 home runs and 507 RBIs this season. Cincinnati has struck out 1,030 times (7th in the league) and accumulated 985 hits, along with an on-base percentage of .318 and a batting average of .246.
This year, the Cincinnati pitching staff has allowed 498 runs, with an ERA of 3.88 (453 earned runs). They have surrendered 131 home runs and allow an average of 4.27 runs per 9 innings (15th in the majors). The Reds maintain a team WHIP of 1.248 and a FIP of 4.07. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 8.40, with 983 strikeouts against 379 walks, ranking them 6th in MLB for total hits allowed at 932.
In 123 save situations, the Reds have achieved 77 holds and encountered 15 blown saves. Their relievers have appeared in 44 save scenarios, converting 29 saves. They’ve played in 112 high-leverage scenarios and faced 103 instances with runners on base. Cincinnati’s relief staff has an inherited score percentage of 33.1% from 163 inherited runners, ranking 10th in MLB with a save rate of 65.9%, and they have used 404 relievers this season.
Over 9,456 innings, the Reds have an efficiency rate of 71.1% (7th in the majors). They have executed 72 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (20th in MLB), with a total of 902 assists, 61 errors, and 3,152 putouts this season.
Greene, with a career record of 22-28, maintains a 3.74 ERA allowing 7.1 hits per 9 innings. He has faced 1,877 opposing batters, with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.34. Greene has allowed 186 earned runs, has a WHIP of 1.167, and a FIP of 3.7. In his time in Major League Baseball, he has given up 355 hits and secured 558 strikeouts in 447 innings pitched.
Who will take home the win in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Bet on Cincinnati (+172)
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