Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers Forecast, 9/17/2025 MLB Predictions, Top Picks & Odds

Home » Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers Forecast, 9/17/2025 MLB Predictions, Top Picks & Odds

Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Event Date: Wednesday, September 17, 2025

Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA

Broadcast: Spectrum SportsNet LA

Betting Odds: Philadelphia (-275) Los Angeles (+220)

The scenic Dodger Stadium will host the clash between the Los Angeles Dodgers (84-66) and the Philadelphia Phillies (90-61) this upcoming Wednesday. The betting line sets Philadelphia at -275 while Los Angeles is positioned at +220. The total for this matchup is fixed at 9 runs. Starting on the mound for the Phillies is Jesus Luzardo, while Blake Snell takes the hill for the Dodgers.

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The Phillies boast a slugging percentage of .432 and have been struck out 1,226 times while recording 497 walks this season. They have accumulated 709 RBIs and 1,339 hits, with an overall batting average of .261. As a team, Philadelphia has achieved 253 doubles and hit 194 home runs. They’ve scored 734 runs with an on-base percentage of .331, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which ranks them 9th in Major League Baseball.

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With an impressive team earned run average (ERA) of 3.83 (8th in MLB), the Phillies have struck out 1,376 batters this year. Their pitchers have allowed 162 home runs along with 608 runs (6th in the league). They’ve issued 412 walks and possess a FIP of 3.70. This season, Philadelphia has given up 1,252 hits (averaging 8.4 per 9 innings) and 571 of those were earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 3.34 with a combined WHIP of 1.24.

The Phillies’ bullpen has a save percentage of 63.8%, with 149 save opportunities this season. Of the 142 inherited runners, 32.4% have scored. The relief pitchers have seen action with runners on base on 97 occasions and have participated in 166 high-leverage situations. Philadelphia has utilized 472 relievers this year, achieving 77 holds (22nd in MLB) and collecting 44 saves, with 25 blown saves out of 69 save chances.

Philadelphia has successfully converted 69.0% of batted balls into outs over 12,072 innings, ranking them 23rd in the majors. Compiling 4,024 putouts and 1,288 assists, they hold a fielding percentage of .990, placing them 3rd in professional baseball, along with 97 double plays made.

Luzardo, with a career record of 40-40, holds a FIP of 4.16 after facing 2,853 batters. He has given up 619 hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) and issued 236 walks. His ERA stands at 4.23 (320 earned runs allowed) with a career WHIP of 1.255. Luzardo has pitched 681 innings and recorded 759 strikeouts throughout his career.

The Dodgers feature a team slugging percentage of .439 and average 5.11 runs per game (2nd in the league). They’ve tallied 241 doubles, walked 553 times, and scored 767 runs this season. Los Angeles has hit 220 home runs along with 735 RBIs, striking out 1,254 times (15th in MLB) and collecting 1,291 hits. The Dodgers maintain an on-base percentage of .330 and a batting average of .254 this season.

The Dodgers have accumulated a WHIP of 1.269 with a FIP of 4.04 this season, ranking 6th in the league for total hits allowed (1,173). Their staff has permitted 647 runs, achieving an ERA of 4.04 (598 earned runs allowed). With a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 9.20 (1,364 strikeouts against 516 walks), they have allowed 168 home runs and give up 4.37 runs per 9 innings (15th in MLB).

Los Angeles has seen bullpen pitchers come into play for 63 save chances, tallying 39 saves, ranking 18th in MLB with a save percentage of 61.9%. They have sent 531 relievers to the mound and their relievers have participated in 164 high-leverage situations and 138 with runners on base. The inherited score percentage for the Dodgers’ bullpen stands at 26.0%, with 215 inherited runners. In 178 save situations, they’ve achieved 110 holds and faced 24 blown saves.

Defensively, the Dodgers have an efficiency rate of 70.3% (12th in pro baseball) out of 11,982 innings. They have executed 96 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .988 (7th in MLB). This season, Los Angeles has registered 1,259 assists, 64 errors, and tallied 3,994 putouts.

Snell, boasting an 80-62 career record, features a 3.18 earned run average and allows 7.0 hits per nine innings. With a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.75, he has faced 4,743 batters in his MLB career. He has yielded 404 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.225 and a FIP of 3.1. Throughout his career, Snell has given up 884 hits while recording 1,423 strikeouts over 1,144 innings.

Which team will secure the victory in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Bet on Philadelphia (-275)

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