- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins
- Date: Monday, June 16, 2025
- Venue: loanDepot park, Miami, FL
- Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Florida
- Betting Odds: Philadelphia (-150) Miami (+125)
The Philadelphia Phillies (39-29) are set to visit loanDepot park on Monday, aiming to overcome the Miami Marlins (25-41). The moneyline for this match features Philadelphia at -150, while Miami is positioned at +125. The game total is set at 8.5 runs. The starting pitchers are Mick Abel and Sandy Alcantara.
Offensively, the Philadelphia Phillies are scoring an average of 4.6 runs per game, placing them 8th in Major League Baseball. They have accumulated a total of 312 runs, boasting a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .328. The Phillies have hit 104 doubles and belted 71 home runs, resulting in 296 RBIs and 588 total hits this season, while their batting average stands at .254. Their slugging percentage is .399, and they’ve recorded 535 strikeouts compared to 238 walks.
In terms of pitching, the Phillies have achieved a K/BB ratio of 3.07 and possess a collective WHIP of 1.30. This season, their pitchers have conceded 72 home runs and 295 runs, ranking 18th in the league. They’ve allowed 588 hits (8.7 per 9 innings) and 271 earned runs, giving them a team ERA of 4.00, also 18th in the league, while striking out 638 batters. With 208 walks issued, their FIP stands at 3.64.
The bullpen of the Phillies has a save percentage of 58.8%, entering 68 save opportunities. Relievers have inherited 67 runners, with 38.8% scorning. This year, Phillies’ relievers have made 78 high-leverage appearances and 218 outings overall, accumulating 33 holds (25th in MLB) and 20 saves out of 34 attempts.
Defensively, the Phillies have converted 67.9% of balls in play into outs over 5,490 innings, ranking them 25th in the league. They have secured 1,830 putouts, 584 assists, and made 26 errors, maintaining a fielding percentage of .989, ranking 3rd in professional baseball, along with 44 double plays.
Mick Abel, with a career record of 1-0, boasts a FIP of 2.35 and has faced 61 batters. He has surrendered 14 hits (8.3 hits per nine innings) and issued 3 walks. Abel’s ERA is 2.38 (4 earned runs) with a WHIP of 1.126. Across 15 innings, he has amassed 14 strikeouts.
On the other hand, the Miami Marlins currently have an on-base percentage of .310 and a batting average of .247 for the season. They’ve struck out 538 times (21st in league) with 556 hits, hitting 57 home runs and driving in 254 runs. The Marlins sport a team slugging percentage of .380 and an average of 4.00 runs per game (23rd in MLB) alongside 111 doubles, 197 walks, and 264 runs scored.
Defensively, the Marlins’ pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.421 and a FIP of 4.42, with a K/BB ratio of 8.00 (523 strikeouts against 235 walks). They rank 23rd in total hits allowed with 596 and have yielded 81 home runs, surrendering 5.49 runs per 9 innings (28th overall). This year, the Marlins have given up 357 runs, resulting in an ERA of 5.06 (329 earned runs).
Miami’s bullpen has been effective in 55 save opportunities, achieving 31 holds and 12 blown saves. The relievers have been called upon in 24 save situations, securing 12 saves. They’ve appeared 72 times in high-leverage contexts and 58 times with inherited runners, posting a 34.9% inherited scoring rate across 83 runners, sitting at 27th in the league for save percentage (50.0%), with 212 bullpen outings this season.
The Marlins’ defensive efficiency over 5,265 innings is 68.2% (23rd in MLB). They have turned 46 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .984 (24th in baseball), with 569 assists, 38 errors, and 1,755 putouts recorded over the season.
Sandy Alcantara, with a career 44-62 record, holds a 3.57 ERA while allowing 7.8 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.76, and he has faced 3,963 batters throughout his career. Alcantara has allowed 382 earned runs, registering a WHIP of 1.179 and a FIP of 3.5. Over 963 innings pitched, he has given up 832 hits while compiling 839 strikeouts.
Who will claim victory in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Miami (+125) and the under on 8.5 runs
