Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins
Date: Sunday, September 7, 2025
Venue: loanDepot park, Miami, FL
Broadcasting: FanDuel Sports Network Florida
Betting Odds: Philadelphia (-150) Miami (+125)
The Philadelphia Phillies (81-59) are headed to loanDepot park this Sunday to face off against the Miami Marlins (65-75). In this exciting matchup, Philadelphia is favored at -150, while Miami comes in at +125. The total runs expected in this game are set at 8. The starters for this encounter are Taijuan Walker for the Phillies and Adam Mazur for the Marlins.
The Phillies are averaging 4.8 runs per game, ranking them 10th in Major League Baseball. They have registered a total of 665 runs, with a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .327. The Philadelphia lineup has hit 231 doubles and launched 172 home runs this season. They boast a combined total of 640 RBIs and 1,226 hits, with a batting average of .257. Their slugging percentage stands at .423, having struck out 1,133 times and drawn 459 walks.
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Philadelphia’s pitchers have a strikeouts-to-walks (K/BB) ratio of 3.35 and a WHIP of 1.24. The pitching staff has allowed 149 home runs and a total of 565 runs (5th in MLB). They’ve given up 1,163 hits (average of 8.4 per 9 innings) along with 528 earned runs, resulting in a team ERA of 3.83 (7th in MLB). The staff has notched 1,278 strikeouts while issuing 381 walks, with a collective FIP of 3.68 this season.
The Phillies’ bullpen boasts a save percentage of 62.9%, managing 134 save opportunities. This relief unit has inherited 136 runners this season, with 33.8% scoring. Phillies relievers have entered the game with runners on base 93 times and have been involved in 154 high-pressure situations. They’ve used 438 relievers this year, achieving 69 holds (23rd in MLB) and converting 39 out of 62 save opportunities.
With a defensive efficiency of 68.8% from 11,181 innings played, the Phillies rank 25th in MLB. They have recorded 3,727 putouts, 1,200 assists, and 53 errors, currently holding a fielding percentage of .989, which places them 3rd among all teams. They have successfully turned 91 double plays this season.
Taijuan Walker, with a career record of 76-70, has a FIP of 4.11 after facing 5,340 hitters in MLB. He has allowed 1,189 hits (averaging 8.5 hits per 9 innings) and issued 426 walks. His career ERA is 4.17, permitting 584 earned runs, and he has maintained a WHIP of 1.282 over 1,259 innings pitched while striking out 1,077 batters.
The Miami Marlins have hit 132 home runs this season, accumulating 575 RBIs. They have also achieved 232 doubles, earned 420 walks, and scored a total of 606 runs. The Marlins have a team OBP of .314 and a batting average of .250, with a slugging percentage of .392. They average 4.33 runs per game (18th in the league) and have struck out 1,104 times (25th in the league), totaling 1,194 hits.
As a pitching staff, the Marlins maintain a WHIP of 1.310 and a FIP of 4.30 this season. They are ranked 22nd in Major League Baseball for most hits allowed, having surrendered 1,186. Miami’s pitchers have given up 699 runs with a team ERA of 4.70 (648 earned runs allowed). Their strikeouts-to-walks ratio stands at 8.00 (1,103 strikeouts to 439 walks), and they have allowed 164 home runs while yielding 5.07 runs per 9 innings (27th in the league).
The Miami bullpen has an inherited run scoring rate of 32.5% out of 157 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the mound 147 times in high leverage situations and 108 times with runners on base. With 128 save opportunities, Miami has achieved 73 holds and experienced 20 blown saves. Their save percentage of 63.0% puts them 12th in the league, with 434 relievers utilized this season. They have earned 34 saves out of 54 save chances.
In their 11,163 innings this season, the Marlins have a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (14th in MLB). They have turned 93 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (17th in the majors), with 1,194 assists, 72 errors, and 3,721 putouts to date.
In his career, Adam Mazur has yielded 59 hits while recording 34 strikeouts over 48 innings pitched. He has allowed 38 earned runs, boasting a WHIP of 1.756 and a FIP of 7.0. With a K/BB ratio of 1.31, he has faced 232 batters and holds a career record of 1-5 with an ERA of 7.07, allowing 11.0 hits per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Back Miami (+125)
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