Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers
Date: Wednesday, September 3, 2025
Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Wisconsin
Betting Odds: Philadelphia (+125) vs. Milwaukee (-150)
On Wednesday, the Philadelphia Phillies (80-58) will face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (85-54) at American Family Field. The moneyline for this contest has the Phillies at +125, while the Brewers show at -150. The game’s total is set at 8.5 runs, with expected starting pitchers Aaron Nola and Jose Quintana set to take the mound.
The Philadelphia Phillies currently average 4.8 runs per game, ranking them 10th in the league. They have scored a total of 660 runs with an on-base percentage (OBP) of .327. The team has recorded 228 doubles and hit 171 home runs this season. With 635 RBIs and 1,211 hits, their batting average stands at .258. The Phillies enjoy a slugging percentage of .424 while striking out 1,111 times and drawing walks 451 times.
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The Phillies’ pitching staff has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.37 and a WHIP of 1.24. They have allowed 148 home runs and 559 runs in total (ranking 5th in the league). With 1,150 hits against (8.4 per 9 innings) and 522 earned runs, the Phillies hold a team earned run average (ERA) of 3.83 (8th in MLB) and have struck out 1,263 batters. Their pitchers have issued 375 walks, with a collective Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) of 3.67 this season.
This season, the Phillies have utilized 432 relief pitchers. The bullpen has inherited 136 base runners, allowing 33.8% of them to score. They have achieved 38 saves so far while failing in 23 of their 61 save attempts, leading to a 62.3% save percentage in 131 save chances. The bullpen has also earned 67 holds this season, ranking 23rd in the league. Phillies relievers have entered games with players on base 93 times, and appeared in 151 high-leverage situations.
Currently, the Philadelphia Phillies have recorded 3,676 putouts, 1,181 assists, and 51 errors for a fielding percentage of .990, placing them 3rd in MLB. They have also executed 88 double plays and turned 68.8% of balls in play into outs across 11,028 innings, ranking them 24th in the league.
Nola (107-86 career record) boasts a FIP of 3.75, having faced 6,917 batters throughout his career. He has given up 1,498 hits (8.0 hits per 9 innings) and issued 442 walks. His career ERA stands at 3.81 (with 713 earned runs), and his WHIP is 1.151. Nola has pitched for 1,685 innings, recording 1,845 strikeouts thus far.
The Milwaukee Brewers hold a .333 OBP and a .259 batting average for the season. They have struck out 1,087 times (25th in the league) and accumulated 1,227 hits. The Brewers have hit 151 home runs, collecting 662 RBIs, while scoring an average of 5.12 runs per game (2nd in the league). They have recorded 226 doubles, drawn 480 walks, and scored a total of 711 runs.
As a pitching staff, the Brewers have a WHIP of 1.238 and a FIP of 3.95. They rank 5th in total hits allowed, giving up 1,074 this season. The Brewers’ pitching staff has allowed 550 runs, resulting in a team ERA of 3.65 (502 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.80 (1,212 strikeouts against 458 walks) and they have surrendered 147 home runs, yielding 4.00 runs per 9 innings (4th in MLB).
In 157 save opportunities, the Brewers have achieved 95 holds but experienced 19 blown saves. Their bullpen has entered 58 save situations, successfully recording 39 saves. Relief pitchers have appeared 164 times in high-pressure situations and 125 times with runners on base. The Milwaukee bullpen has an inherited score rate of 30.5% from 187 inherited runners and ranks 6th in MLB with a 67.2% save rate; they have deployed 472 relief pitchers this year.
The Brewers have executed 101 double plays and have a .987 fielding percentage (9th in MLB). This season, they recorded 1,106 assists, 63 errors, and a total of 3,713 putouts. With 11,139 innings played, their defensive efficiency stands at 70.9%—ranking them 5th in the majors.
Quintana has allowed 2,028 hits throughout his career, while striking out 1,804 batters over 2,083 innings. With a career record of 112-108, he holds a 3.74 ERA and permits 8.8 hits per nine innings. Quintana has yielded 866 earned runs and has a WHIP of 1.278, alongside a FIP of 3.7. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.85, having faced 8,742 batters in total.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or the moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Pick: Go with Milwaukee (-150)
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