Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets
Date: Monday, August 25, 2025
Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
Broadcast: Sportsnet New York
Betting Odds: Philadelphia (-122) New York (+102)
This Monday, the Philadelphia Phillies (record: 74-53) will take on the New York Mets (record: 67-60) at Citi Field. The moneyline for this game has the Phillies set at -122 and the Mets at +102, with a total set at 8.5 runs. The starting pitchers are Cristopher Sanchez for Philadelphia and Kodai Senga for New York.
Philadelphia boasts a slugging percentage of .423 and has recorded 1,017 strikeouts while drawing 417 walks. With 579 runs batted in and 1,115 hits this season, their batting average stands at .258. The Phillies have collectively achieved 211 doubles and 156 home runs, bringing their total runs to 604, alongside an on-base percentage of .328. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies average 4.8 runs per game, ranking 9th in the league.
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The Phillies show a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.43 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.23. They have allowed 138 home runs and given up a total of 505 runs this season, ranking them 5th in the league. With 1,047 base hits allowed (8.4 per 9 innings) and 472 earned runs, Philadelphia’s earned run average stands at 3.76 (8th in MLB), with a strikeout total of 1,166. Their pitchers have issued 340 walks, and the team FIP is recorded at 3.65 this season.
Phillies relief pitchers have faced runners on base 85 times and have appeared in 127 high-leverage scenarios. They hold 60 holds this season, placing them 23rd in the league, with a 64.2% save rate in 114 save situations, converting 34 saves while missing 19 out of 53 chances. Their inherited runner percentage sits at 32.0% from 122 runners this season, with 391 relief pitchers utilized to date.
This season, the Phillies have converted 69.2% of balls in play into outs across 10,155 innings, ranking 23rd overall. The team has registered 3,385 putouts, 1,092 assists, and made 46 errors, holding a stellar fielding percentage of .990 that ranks 3rd in the majors, along with 78 double plays.
As for Sanchez, he has pitched a total of 490 innings and struck out 466 batters throughout his career. Currently standing at 28-20 in his career win-loss record, Sanchez holds a FIP of 3.26. Over his tenure, he has faced 2,022 hitters, sporting a 3.30 earned run average after allowing 180 earned runs with a career WHIP of 1.183, conceding 458 hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) alongside 122 walks.
The New York Mets have produced 167 home runs and tallied 554 RBIs this year, along with 205 doubles and 569 runs scored. Their on-base percentage is .321 and batting average sits at .244. The Mets’ team slugging percentage is .418, averaging 4.48 runs per game, ranking them 13th in MLB. The team has been struck out 1,023 times (19th in MLB) with a total of 1,034 hits.
New York’s pitching staff has surrendered 533 runs this season and maintained a team ERA of 3.81, allowing 476 earned runs. They’ve given up 117 homers and allowed 4.26 runs per 9 innings, ranking 11th in baseball. The Mets feature a WHIP of 1.314 and a FIP of 3.90, with a K/BB ratio of 8.70 (1,088 strikeouts to 453 walks), placing them 12th in total hits allowed with 1,025.
The Mets bullpen has entered 58 save opportunities this year, converting 36 into saves and standing 18th in the league with a save percentage of 62.1%. The team has sent 415 relievers to the mound, with 156 appearances in high-leverage situations and 136 occasions with runners on base. Their inherited score percentage is 34.7% out of 202 inherited base runners, and they have achieved 80 holds along with 22 blown saves across 138 save scenarios.
With 10,125 innings played, the Mets’ defensive efficiency is 69.5% (18th in baseball). They’ve completed 94 double plays and secured a fielding percentage of .987 (11th in the league), accumulating 1,146 assists, making 60 errors, and achieving 3,375 putouts thus far.
Senga has allowed 209 hits over his career, achieving 310 strikeouts across 275 innings pitched. He has conceded 87 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.224 alongside a FIP of 2.8. His K/BB ratio stands at 2.42, having faced 1,152 hitters during his MLB career. With a record of 20-12, Senga boasts an earned run average of 2.84, allowing 6.8 hits per 9 innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Bet on Philadelphia (-122)
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