Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees Forecast, 7/25/2025 MLB Selections, Top Wagers & Odds

Home » Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees Forecast, 7/25/2025 MLB Selections, Top Wagers & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees

Date: Friday, July 25, 2025

Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY

Broadcast: YES Network

Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies (-144) New York Yankees (+120)

The Philadelphia Phillies (record: 58-44) are set to face off against the New York Yankees (record: 56-46) at Yankee Stadium this Friday. Current betting odds place the Phillies at -144, while the Yankees are at +120. The over/under for this matchup is set at 8.5 runs. Expected starting pitchers for the game are Taijuan Walker for the Phillies and Will Warren for the Yankees.

MLB predictions for Yankees vs Phillies

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This season, the Phillies have recorded 161 doubles and 115 home runs, boasting a slugging percentage of .408. They’ve struck out 809 times while drawing 349 walks. Averaging 4.6 runs scored per game places them 11th in the league. Philadelphia’s offense has tallied 446 RBIs and 880 hits, achieving a team batting average of .254 and an on-base percentage of .327.

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Philadelphia’s pitching staff has maintained a solid 3.71 earned run average, ranking 8th in the league, generating 952 strikeouts. They have allowed 106 home runs and a total of 406 runs scored, placing 7th in MLB. The pitchers have walked 297 batters, with a collective FIP of 3.60 for the season. Philadelphia has yielded 843 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 375 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 3.21, with a WHIP of 1.25.

The bullpen’s save percentage is currently at 61.4%, having been called into action in 90 save situations. Relief pitchers have inherited 96 base runners this season, with 33.3% scoring. They’ve entered games with runners on base 67 times and made 110 high-leverage appearances. Philadelphia has utilized 316 relief pitchers this year, recording 45 holds (24th in MLB) and converting 27 of 44 save opportunities.

This season, the Phillies have converted 68.8% of balls in play into outs over 8,193 innings, landing them 24th in the league. They have made 2,731 putouts, 882 assists, and committed 38 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .990, ranking 3rd in MLB while turning 71 double plays.

Taijuan Walker has pitched 1,216 innings in his career, accumulating 1,055 strikeouts. With a career record of 75-68, he holds a FIP of 4.11, having faced 5,158 batters. His ERA stands at 4.17 (564 earned runs) with a WHIP of 1.280. He has allowed 1,140 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and issued 417 walks.

The New York Yankees showcase a slugging percentage of .454 and average 5.20 runs per game, ranking 3rd overall. They have recorded 179 doubles, 530 runs, and 163 home runs this season. The Yankees have struck out 890 times (8th in the league) while racking up 880 hits. Their team on-base percentage is .333 with a .254 batting average for the season.

New York’s pitching staff maintains a WHIP of 1.233 and a FIP of 3.95. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 9.00 (896 strikeouts to 345 walks), placing them 2nd in the league for total hits allowed (765). They’ve permitted 110 home runs and allow 4.24 runs per 9 innings (13th in MLB), resulting in a team ERA of 3.89 (389 earned runs).

In 95 save opportunities, the Yankees have recorded 56 holds and experienced 11 blown saves. Their relievers have been called to the mound 38 times, achieving 27 saves. The bullpen has faced high-pressure situations 96 times and stepped in with runners on base 110 times. New York’s inherited runner scoring rate stands at 25.9% out of 166 inherited baserunners, earning the Yankees a 3rd place ranking in save rate at 71.1%, with 335 relief appearances this season.

Across 8,106 innings this season, the Yankees’ defensive efficiency is 71.3% (5th in MLB). They have executed 65 double plays, maintaining a fielding percentage of .986 (20th in MLB). The Yankees have accumulated 864 assists, made 52 errors, and recorded a total of 2,702 putouts this year.

Will Warren, with a career record of 6-8, has an earned run average of 5.94 and has allowed 9.6 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.56 after facing 548 batters. He has given up 80 earned runs, a WHIP of 1.535, and a FIP of 5.9. Throughout his career, Warren has allowed 129 hits while accumulating 146 strikeouts in 121 innings pitched.

Who will secure a victory in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Choose Philadelphia (-144)

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