Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies vs San Francisco Giants
Date: Wednesday, July 9, 2025
Venue: Oracle Park, San Francisco, CA
Broadcast: NBC Bay Area
Betting Odds: Philadelphia (-128), San Francisco (+106)
On Wednesday, Oracle Park will host an exciting clash between the San Francisco Giants (50-42) and the Philadelphia Phillies (53-38). Currently, Philadelphia is favored at -128, with San Francisco listed at +106. The over/under for the game is set at 8.5 runs, and the projected starting pitchers are Jesus Luzardo and Justin Verlander.
This season, the Philadelphia Phillies are averaging 4.6 runs per game, ranking them 11th in Major League Baseball. They have accumulated 414 runs, with an on-base percentage (OBP) of .329. The team has hit 141 doubles and 97 home runs, racking up 394 runs batted in (RBIs) along with 787 hits. Their batting average is .255 and they have a slugging percentage of .404, but have also struck out 722 times while drawing 314 walks.
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The Phillies boast a K/BB ratio of 3.20, with a team WHIP (Walks and Hits per Inning Pitched) of 1.25. Their pitchers have allowed 91 home runs and given up a total of 361 runs, ranking 10th in the league. The team has permitted 753 hits at a rate of 8.4 hits per nine innings and has accumulated 333 earned runs. Philadelphia holds a team ERA of 3.70, ranking 9th in MLB, and they have struck out 841 batters. The team has issued 263 walks, with a FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) of 3.54 for the season.
In high-pressure situations, the Phillies’ bullpen has appeared 92 times and has tallied 40 holds this season (ranking 26th in MLB). The relief pitchers have a save conversion rate of 61.9% from 83 save opportunities, totaling 26 saves but failing to convert 16 out of 42 attempts. They have inherited 83 runners this season, with 37.3% scoring. The Phillies have utilized 277 relief pitchers throughout the year.
Defensively, the Philadelphia Phillies have recorded 2,433 putouts, 793 assists, and 34 errors, achieving a fielding percentage of .990, placing them 5th in MLB. The team has turned 62 double plays and managed to convert 68.8% of balls in play into outs over 7,299 innings, ranking 22nd in the league.
Luzardo, with a career win-loss record of 33-39, has a FIP of 4.25 and has faced 2,569 batters in the majors. He has allowed 569 hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has issued 215 walks. His career earned run average stands at 4.31 (292 earned runs), and he holds a WHIP of 1.287. Luzardo has pitched 609 innings and accumulated 674 strikeouts to date.
The San Francisco Giants have hit 85 home runs and accumulated 364 RBIs with 142 doubles this season. They have a total of 384 runs scored, a .311 OBP, and a batting average of .232 for the year. The Giants have a slugging percentage of .373, averaging 4.17 runs per game, which ranks 21st in the league. They have struck out 780 times (11th in the league) and recorded 700 hits.
San Francisco holds a WHIP of 1.242 and a team FIP of 3.57. They have allowed a total of 720 hits, ranking 11th in the league, and surrendered 352 runs with a team ERA of 3.41 (308 earned runs). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.70 (785 strikeouts versus 289 walks), allowing 78 home runs and yielding 3.90 runs per nine innings, which is 5th-best in baseball.
The Giants’ relievers have inherited runners 102 times, accomplishing a success rate of 32.4% when those runners score. Their relief pitchers have appeared in high-leverage situations 109 times, facing runners on base in 62 of those appearances. San Francisco has converted 64 holds and experienced 14 blown saves through 103 save opportunities, ranking 12th in the league with a 64.1% save percentage, utilizing 285 relievers this season. They have successfully completed 25 saves out of 39 save chances.
With 7,314 innings played, the Giants have recorded a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (16th in pro baseball). The Giants have turned 67 double plays and have achieved a fielding percentage of .985 (23rd in the majors). To date, the Giants have registered 863 assists, 51 errors, and 2,438 putouts this season.
Verlander, boasting a remarkable career record of 262-153, has a 3.33 ERA, allowing 7.7 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio stands at 3.55, having faced 14,257 batters throughout his professional career. He has surrendered a total of 1,290 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.132 and a FIP of 3.3. Overall, he has allowed 2,967 hits while achieving 3,476 strikeouts in 3,485 innings pitched.
Who will claim victory in tonight’s MLB matchup, covering the spread or winning on the moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Choose San Francisco (+106)
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