Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals
Date: Thursday, August 14, 2025
Venue: Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.
Broadcast: MASN
Betting Odds: Philadelphia (-150) Washington (+125)
Nationals Park will host the matchup between the Washington Nationals (47-72) and the Philadelphia Phillies (69-50) this Thursday. The betting line has Philadelphia at -150, while Washington opens at +125. The total for this game is set at 8. The starting pitchers for the game will be Jesus Luzardo for the Phillies and Brad Lord for the Nationals.

The Phillies have a slugging percentage of .418 and have been struck out 952 times, while drawing 395 walks. This season, they have amassed 532 RBIs and 1,021 hits, giving them a team batting average of .255. The squad has hit 196 doubles and belted 142 home runs, accomplishing a total of 555 runs with an on-base percentage of .326. On average, Philadelphia scores 4.7 runs per game, ranking them 9th in the league.
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The Philadelphia Phillies’ pitching lineup has achieved a team ERA of 3.68 this season (6th in MLB), tallying 1,075 strikeouts. The pitching staff has given up 129 home runs and a total of 462 runs (5th in the league). With 320 walks issued, the overall FIP stands at 3.68. The Phillies have allowed 974 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 430 earned runs, boasting a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.36 and a WHIP of 1.23.
Philadelphia’s bullpen has entered games with runners on base 74 times, having 120 high-leverage appearances. With 56 holds this year (23rd overall), the relief pitchers possess a save success rate of 65.3%, converting 32 of 49 save opportunities. They’ve inherited 106 base runners, with 32.1% of them scoring, and a total of 362 pitchers have been utilized in relief this season.
The Phillies defense has recorded 3,154 putouts, 1,021 assists, and 43 errors. Their fielding percentage of .990 ranks them 3rd in MLB, contributing to 76 double plays. The team successfully converts 69.3% of balls hit into play into outs across 9,462 innings, placing them 21st in professional baseball.
Jesus Luzardo has thrown for 645 innings in his career, accruing 710 strikeouts. With a career ERA of 4.27 (allowing 306 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.271, he has given up 595 hits (averaging 8.3 hits per nine innings) alongside 225 walks. Luzardo holds a career record of 37-39 and his FIP is noted at 4.21, having faced 2,710 batters in the major leagues.
The Washington Nationals have hit 113 home runs and driven in 483 runs this season. They’ve also recorded 194 doubles, 339 walks, and a total of 502 runs, positioning their on-base percentage at .309 and batting average at .244. The Nationals have a slugging percentage of .387 and an average of 4.25 runs per game (20th in MLB). They’ve struck out 929 times (25th in MLB) and have accumulated 966 hits.
The Nationals’ pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.442 and a FIP of 4.54 this season, ranking 29th in baseball for total hits allowed, giving up 1,099 hits. They have let in 648 runs with an ERA of 5.32 (612 earned runs surrendered). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 7.80 (900 strikeouts vs. 395 walks), and they’ve allowed 146 home runs, with an average of 5.63 runs per 9 innings (29th in the league).
Washington’s bullpen has an inherited scoring rate of 40.2% out of 209 inherited runners, appearing in 88 high-leverage situations and 122 innings with base runners on. With 83 save opportunities, they have 46 holds and 14 blown saves, ranking 17th in save percentage at 61.1%. They have sent 414 relief pitchers to the mound this season, with 36 save chances leading to 22 saves.
The Washington Nationals have also completed 93 double plays with a fielding percentage of .985 (21st in the majors). They’ve notched 1,008 assists, committed 63 errors, and boast a total of 3,109 putouts. Over 9,327 innings played, they have recorded a defensive efficiency of 67.6% (29th in MLB).
Brad Lord, in his MLB career, has allowed 75 hits, achieving 70 strikeouts across 85 innings pitched. He’s given up 31 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.212 and a FIP of 3.2. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.50, facing 349 batters in his career. Lord holds a career record of 3-6 and maintains a 3.28 ERA with an average of 7.9 hits allowed per nine innings.
Which team will prevail in tonight’s MLB match against the spread or moneyline?
Parlay’s Pundit’s Prediction: Bet on Washington (+125) and the under for 8 runs
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