Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC Prediction, Soccer Picks, Tips, and Odds for 10/4/2025

Home » Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC Prediction, Soccer Picks, Tips, and Odds for 10/4/2025
  • Matchup: Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC
  • Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
  • Venue: Subaru Park, Chester, PA
  • Broadcast: MLS Season Pass

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New York City FC (17-5-10) is traveling to Subaru Park in Chester, PA this Saturday, facing off against the Zolos (19-6-7). The Union are favored at -144, while NYCFC stands at +120. The over/under line is set at 3 goals. The anticipated goalkeepers are Andre Blake for Philadelphia and Matt Freese for New York City.

soccer picks Kai Wagner Philadelphia Union predictions best bet odds

Philadelphia Union has allowed 33 goals, averaging 1.03 goals conceded per 90 minutes, with opponents managing 98 shots on target against them. They have recorded 13 clean sheets this season, achieving a 40.6% rate. Furthermore, the Union has accumulated 83 yellow cards and 4 red cards. Their expected goals (xG) stands at 55.4, while expected goals against is 38.1. This season, they average 1.97 points per match (63 points) and are ranked 4th in MLS with 43 assists. Their goal differential is 23, resulting from scoring 56 goals while conceding 33. The team has made 65 saves, maintaining a save percentage of 66.3% throughout the season.

New York City FC has recorded 49 goals, with their expected goals for the season at 48.8. NYCFC’s goals conceded per 90 minutes is 1.28, along with 95 saves and 9 clean sheets. Their save percentage stands at 69.2% against 133 shots on target. NYCFC ranks 5th in MLS with 56 points and sits 10th for goals allowed, with 41 conceded, resulting in a goal difference of +8. Their clean sheet rate is 28.1% this year, and they have received 59 yellow cards. The Pigeons average 1.8 points per match, contributing 34 assists along with 1 red card during the season.

Andre Blake will be the goalkeeper for Philadelphia. Blake has logged 23,543 minutes on the pitch, achieving 786 saves in his professional career. The Jamaican keeper has faced 1,095 shots in 265 starting appearances. His goals against average (GA/90) is 1.19, having conceded 311 goals, while his save percentage is commendable at 71.8%. Blake holds a career record of 120 wins, 64 losses, and 81 draws, with 83 clean sheets, resulting in a 31.8% clean sheet rate.

Matt Freese is expected to guard the goal for New York City. He has allowed 107 goals and has made 262 saves across 85 starts. Freese’s goals against average is 1.28, with a career record of 37 wins, 23 losses, and 25 draws. His save percentage is 71.4%, and his clean sheet percentage stands at 23.9%. Over his career, Freese has achieved 20 clean sheets while facing 367 shots in 7,500 minutes on the field.

Mikael Uhre is a key player for Philadelphia, making a significant impact. He has played 86 matches as a starter, averaging 0.48 goals per 90 minutes. The Danish forward has scored 37 goals over 6,988 minutes, along with 18 assists, totaling 92 points in his professional career.

New York City’s Alonso Martinez is another player to watch closely in this match. He has amassed 70 career points, contributing 4 assists. The Costa Rican forward has played 3,869 professional minutes and netted 33 goals, averaging 0.77 goals per 90 minutes, with 46 starting appearances in his career.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s soccer match ATS?

Prediction: Bet on New York City FC (-144)

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Pick: New York City FC (-144)
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